Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 20

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Nouste Camp (Pau)

Referee: Leprodhomme T. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free


	Pau		Grenoble

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.72	3.55	4.45	Watch
	1.76	3.74	4.85
	1.71	3.69	4.77	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.5
	1.73	3.72	4.9	Watch
	1.7	3.66	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.92)	3.62 ↑ (3.49)	4.67 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pau
54.2%

Draw
25.8%

Grenoble
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

26.8%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

26.7%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pau's performance.

Grenoble has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pau that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	7.1%	21.4%

Pau - Grenoble Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Pau will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Grenoble will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pau: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Pau (1.93) (votes: 3 - 60%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Grenoble (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pau will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Pau (votes: 7 - 70%). Grenoble (votes: 3 - 30%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Paradowski T. (G) 2. Pouilly T. 4. Karamoko S. 25. Ruiz J. (C) 3. Kalulu J. 10. Versini G. 21. Beusnard S. 84. Touzghar R. 18. Sadik O. 14. Bobichon A. 9. Dong K.	13. Diop M. (G) 26. Mion M. 29. Paquiez G. (C) 5. Vidal C. 4. Mambo S. 27. Xantippe M. 19. Zahui N. 24. Mouyokolo L. 7. Diaby Y. 23. Elphege N. 10. Mouazan B.
Substitutes
23. Briancon A. 6. Fall C. 26. Glossoa N. 19. Kante 34. Lebouath S. 7. Messi R. 30. Salles E. (G)	16. Allain B. (G) 11. Bangre M. 6. Bernadou L. 17. Delos S. 9. Lallias A. 20. Maurin E. 22. N'Gatta A. L.
Coaches
Usai N.	Rizzetto F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Sadik O. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Pouilly T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Zahui N. ↓, Lallias A. ↑,
58', Paquiez G. 🟨,
59', Mambo S. ↓, Bernadou L. ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Beusnard S. ⚽, Sadik O. (A),
68', Dong K. ↓, Messi R. ↑,
68', Bobichon A. ↓, Fall C. ↑,
71', Elphege N. ↓, Maurin E. ↑,
71', Mouazan B. ↓, Bangre M. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Maurin E. ⚽, Paquiez G. (A),
84', Versini G. ↓, Glossoa N. ↑,
87', Mion M. ↓, Delos S. ↑,
89', Vidal C. 🟨,
90+1', Glossoa N. ↓, Lebouath S. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 2, Bernadou L. ⚽, Paquiez G. (A),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pau won 3.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Recently, Grenoble has had a series of home games.

In this match, Pau is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Pau: Briancon A. (Inactive) Gasnier K. (Inactive) Gaspar J. (Inactive) Meddah D. (Inactive) Salles E. (Inactive) Sissoko O. (Inactive)

There will not play in Grenoble: Benet J. (Inactive) Bernadou L. (Injury) Diba S. (Red Card) Djitte M. (Inactive) Elphege N. (Inactive) Paquiez G. (Inactive)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Pau won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 0.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Pau won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Grenoble: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Pau FC	7	2	2	3	6:6	0	8
13	Grenoble	7	2	2	3	8:11	-3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
16.01.26	Dunkerque - Pau	3:1 ✺
03.01.26	Pau - Rodez	3:3 ✺
12.12.25	Pau - Amiens	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Montpellier - Pau	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
29.11.25	SA Mérignac - Pau	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTLWL
- Grenoble Foot 38
French Ligue 2
17.01.26	Grenoble - Red Star	0:3 ✺
03.01.26	Bastia - Grenoble	1:0 ✺
Coupe De France
20.12.25	Grenoble - Nancy	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
13.12.25	Grenoble - Montpellier	1:1 ✺
05.12.25	Grenoble - Nancy	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
17.10.25	Grenoble - Pau	1:1
28.02.25	Pau - Grenoble	1:0
30.08.24	Grenoble - Pau	1:1
24.02.24	Grenoble - Pau	0:1
28.10.23	Pau - Grenoble	3:2
11.02.23	Grenoble - Pau	1:1
10.01.23	Pau - Grenoble	0:0

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