Match Info

Date: 1 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Stade des Costières (Nîmes)

Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Nîmes		Paris FC

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.25	2.45	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.4
	3	3.15	2.35
	2.85	3.1	2.42
	2.99	3.18	2.57
	3	3	2.4	Watch
	2.84	3.32	2.46	Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↓ (2.91)	3.15 ↑ (3.14)	2.43 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nîmes
32.1%

Draw
29.6%

Paris FC
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

29.5%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

28.9%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nîmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	30%	45%

Nîmes - Paris FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Nîmes will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Paris FC will win (votes: 9 - 45%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 23.2% – 66.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 12).

Nîmes has the most likely position - 16 (7.96%), has project points - 46, has currently - 8, has a chance of relegated (17%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Paris FC has the most likely position - 10 (7.61%), has project points - 52, has currently - 10, has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

This event has quality 34, small importance 20, small match rating 27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nîmes won 1.

Nîmes is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Paris FC is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Paris FC will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Nîmes won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Nîmes won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nîmes Olympique
French Ligue 2
17.09.22	Sochaux - Nîmes	3:1 ✺
10.09.22	Nîmes - Bastia	0:0 ✺
02.09.22	Valenciennes - Nîmes	3:2 ✺
30.08.22	Grenoble - Nîmes	3:2 ✺
27.08.22	Nîmes - Laval	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLLW
- Paris FC
French Ligue 2
17.09.22	Paris FC - Rodez	1:2 ✺
10.09.22	Grenoble - Paris FC	1:2 ✺
03.09.22	Paris FC - Bordeaux	1:3 ✺
30.08.22	Amiens - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
27.08.22	Paris FC - Caen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
05.03.22	Nîmes - Paris FC	1:1
21.09.21	Paris FC - Nîmes	2:0
03.03.18	Nîmes - Paris FC	2:1
29.09.17	Paris FC - Nîmes	2:1
12.02.16	Paris FC - Nîmes	0:0
22.09.15	Nîmes - Paris FC	1:1

Upcoming Matches