Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 12

Date: 1 November 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Charlety (Paris)

Referee: Benchabane F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free


	Paris FC		Rodez

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.7	4.75	Watch
	1.65	3.9	4.75
	1.66	4	4.75
	1.68	3.91	5.2
	1.7	3.86	4.57	Watch
	1.6	4	4.8
	1.74	3.86	4.95	Watch
	1.66	4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.78)	3.9 ↑ (3.76)	4.82 ↑ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris FC
56.3%

Draw
24.1%

Rodez
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

25%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

24.2%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.2%	2.3%	4.5%

Paris FC - Rodez Predictions

Users Predictions: Paris FC will win (40 of 43 users predict this - 93.02%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Nkambadio O. (G) 39. Tourraine M. 5. Mbow M. 6. Soumahoro A. 27. Gaudin J. 8. Doucet L. 21. Lopez M. 17. Camara A. 10. Kebbal I. 11. Krasso J. 7. Gory A. (C)	16. Mpasi-Nzau L. (G) 25. Galves N. 24. Laurent L. 17. Pelon A. 4. Mambo S. 28. Abdallah A. 8. Younoussa W. 5. Cadiou N. 10. Taibi W. 18. Balde I. 9. Nkada T.
Substitutes
12. Dicko N. 15. Kolodziejczak T. 20. Lopez J. 4. Marchetti V. 2. Ollila T. 1. Riou R. (G) 18. Sissoko O.	7. Achi Bouakline M. 22. Bentayeb T. 1. Cibois S. (G) 11. Corredor M. 20. Jean D. 19. Mazou-Sacko D. 2. Vandenabeele E.
Coaches
Gilli S.	Santini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Galves N. ⚽, Abdallah A. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Doucet L. ⚽, Krasso J. (A),
37', 1 - 2, Balde I. ⚽, Abdallah A. (A),
45', Abdallah A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 1 - 3, Balde I. ⚽, Galves N. (A),
51', Lopez M. 🟨,
53', 2 - 3, Lopez M. ⚽,
60', Doucet L. ↓, Marchetti V. ↑,
65', Balde I. ↓, Jean D. ↑,
67', 3 - 3, Krasso J. ⚽, Gory A. (A),
71', Younoussa W. 🟨,
74', Abdallah A. ↓, Corredor M. ↑,
74', Younoussa W. ↓, Mazou-Sacko D. ↑,
80', Gory A. ↓, Dicko N. ↑,
80', Gaudin J. ↓, Ollila T. ↑,
85', Camara A. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
85', Krasso J. ↓, Sissoko O. ↑,
85', Nkada T. ↓, Bentayeb T. ↑,
86', Taibi W. ↓, Achi Bouakline M. ↑,
88', Mpasi-Nzau L. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 1.

Paris FC in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Rodez is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Paris FC is a favorite.

There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Knee Injury) Chergui S. (Knock) Gueye L. (Knee Injury) Hamel P. (Injury) Kore Y. (Ankle Injury) Pembele A. (Injury)

There will not play in Rodez: Chougrani J. (Injury) Crombez E. (Injury) Lipinski R. (Knee Injury)

Our prediction for today's Paris FC to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:11 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Paris FC won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris FC
French Ligue 2
29.10.24	Amiens - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
26.10.24	Paris FC - Grenoble	2:1 ✺
21.10.24	Troyes - Paris FC	0:3 ✺
04.10.24	Paris FC - Laval	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Red Star - Paris FC	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWWWW
- Rodez AF
French Ligue 2
29.10.24	Bastia - Rodez	2:2 ✺
25.10.24	Rodez - Lorient	3:3 ✺
18.10.24	Martigues - Rodez	0:2 ✺
04.10.24	Rodez - Grenoble	2:1 ✺
27.09.24	Amiens - Rodez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
21.05.24	Rodez - Paris FC	3:2 penalties
French Ligue 2
23.04.24	Rodez - Paris FC	1:0
05.12.23	Paris FC - Rodez	2:0
13.05.23	Rodez - Paris FC	0:0
17.09.22	Paris FC - Rodez	1:2
16.04.22	Rodez - Paris FC	0:1
06.11.21	Paris FC - Rodez	1:0

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