Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 24

Date: 20 February 2023, Monday

Location: Stade des Antonins (Nîmes)

Referee: Thual O. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
France	beIN Sports
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Turkey	beIN Sports 4


	Nîmes		Saint-Étienne

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	1.95	Watch
	3.6	3.25	2.05
	3.7	3.25	2.02
	3.88	3.42	2.07
	3.9	3.1	2
	3.92	3.28	2.01	Watch
	3.6	3.3	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (2.95)	3.27 ↑ (3.22)	2.02 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nîmes
25%

Draw
28.6%

Saint-Étienne
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

28.8%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

28.5%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nîmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nîmes's form might have worsened.

Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saint-Étienne's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nîmes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saint-Étienne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	10%	80%

Nîmes - Saint Étienne Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Nîmes will win (votes: 3 - 10%). Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 24 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Saint-Étienne: 65.7% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 16).

Nîmes has the most likely position - 19 (16.63%), has project points - 40, has currently - 23, has a good chance of relegated (60%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Saint-Étienne has the most likely position - 11 (9.05%), has project points - 49, has currently - 27, has a small chance of relegated (10%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 32, importance 39, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nîmes won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Saint-Étienne will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Nîmes won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Nîmes won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nîmes Olympique
French Ligue 2
11.02.23	Rodez - Nîmes	1:1 ✺
03.02.23	Nîmes - Grenoble	0:2 ✺
31.01.23	Guingamp - Nîmes	1:2 ✺
28.01.23	Nîmes - Niort	3:2 ✺
13.01.23	Le Havre - Nîmes	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TLWWL
- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2
11.02.23	Saint-Étienne - Dijon	2:0 ✺
04.02.23	Saint-Étienne - Annecy	3:2 ✺
31.01.23	Bastia - Saint-Étienne	2:0 ✺
28.01.23	Saint-Étienne - Sochaux	2:3 ✺
16.01.23	Niort - Saint-Étienne	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
06.08.22	Saint-Étienne - Nîmes	1:1
French Ligue 1
04.04.21	Nîmes - Saint-Étienne	0:2
20.12.20	Saint-Étienne - Nîmes	2:2
25.01.20	Saint-Étienne - Nîmes	2:1
French Coupe de la Ligue
18.12.19	Nîmes - Saint-Étienne	1:2
French Ligue 1
29.09.19	Nîmes - Saint-Étienne	0:1
01.04.19	Saint-Étienne - Nîmes	2:1

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