Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 28

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Geoffroy-Guichard (Saint-Étienne)

Referee: Petit A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Saint-Étienne		Annecy

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.77	3.75	4.2
	1.68	3.65	4.65	Watch
	1.74	3.87	5.13
	1.64	4.05	4.79	Watch
	1.67	3.5	4.75
	1.68	3.86	5.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.94)	3.74 ↑ (3.4)	4.73 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Étienne
55.2%

Draw
25%

Annecy
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

27.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

26.2%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saint-Étienne's performance.

Annecy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saint-Étienne that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Annecy than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	10.5%	5.3%

Saint Étienne - Annecy Predictions

Users Predictions: Saint-Étienne will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maubleu B. (G) 39. Pedro K. 26. Le Cardinal J. (C) 3. Nade M. 11. Old B. 14. Kante A. 8. Appiah D. 7. Cardona I. 20. Boakye A. 22. Davitashvili Z. 9. Stassin L.	1. Escales F. (G) 6. Lajugie F. 18. Drouhin A. 27. Kouadio J. 41. Delphis T. 25. Venot P. 5. Kashi A. (C) 22. Billemaz C. 8. Hbouch A. 33. Paris Q. 11. Gomes A.
Substitutes
19. Annan E. 17. Duffus J. 36. Eymard P. 15. Lamba C. 28. Miladinovic I. 29. Moueffek A. 50. Toure I. (G)	16. Callens T. (G) 29. Casadei A. 80. Dion M. S. 19. Jusseron-Veniere K. 20. Patterson T. 9. Rambaud T. 2. Rowe T.
Coaches
Montanier P.	Guyot L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
8', Hbouch A. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Pedro K. ⚽, Davitashvili Z. (A),
23', 2 - 0, Cardona I. ⚽, Stassin L. (A),
33', 3 - 0, Stassin L. ⚽, Cardona I. (A),
45+2', Appiah D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Billemaz C. ↓, Patterson T. ↑,
63', 4 - 0, Davitashvili Z. ⚽,
64', Le Cardinal J. ↓, Lamba C. ↑,
64', Cardona I. ↓, Duffus J. ↑,
65', Paris Q. ↓, Dion M. S. ↑,
65', Gomes A. ↓, Jusseron-Veniere K. ↑,
72', Kante A. ↓, Moueffek A. ↑,
73', Stassin L. ↓, Miladinovic I. ↑,
79', Appiah D. ↓, Annan E. ↑,
83', Venot P. ↓, Casadei A. ↑,
83', Lajugie F. ↓, Rowe T. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 3.

Saint-Étienne has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Annecy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Saint-Étienne is the team to beat.

There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Bernauer M. (Inactive) El Jamali N. (Inactive) Ferreira J. (Inactive) Jaber M. (Injury) Lamba C. (Injury) Larsonneur G. (Inactive) N'Guessan D. (Inactive) Paalberg M. (Inactive) Tardieu F. (Inactive) Traore L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Annecy: Hbouch A. (Inactive) Jacob V. (Red Card) Koutoune H. (Inactive) Makutungu C. (Inactive) Pajot V. (Inactive) Toure B. (Inactive) Veillon M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Annecy: Kouadio J. (Injury)

We predict that Saint-Étienne will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Saint-Étienne won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

St Etienne: 56.34% Annecy: 1.85%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St Etienne	7	5	1	1	19:8	11	16
7	Annecy	7	3	1	3	9:9	0	10

Last Results with these Odds

Annecy - the odds 3.76 are the expected chance of winning is 24.72%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2
14.03.26	Grenoble - Saint-Étienne	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Saint-Étienne - Red Star	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Pau - Saint-Étienne	0:3 ✺
21.02.26	Saint-Étienne - Laval	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Guingamp - Saint-Étienne	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWWWW
- Annecy FC
French Ligue 2
16.03.26	Annecy - Troyes	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Le Mans - Annecy	3:0 ✺
27.02.26	Bastia - Annecy	0:2 ✺
20.02.26	Annecy - Red Star	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Laval - Annecy	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
25.10.25	Annecy - Saint-Étienne	4:0
24.02.24	Saint-Étienne - Annecy	2:1
28.08.23	Annecy - Saint-Étienne	1:1
Club Friendly
26.07.23	Annecy - Saint-Étienne	2:3
French Ligue 2
04.02.23	Saint-Étienne - Annecy	3:2
26.12.22	Annecy - Saint-Étienne	2:1

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