Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Kadrioru Staadion (Tallinn)

Referee: Hardie R. (Sco)


	Nõmme Kalju		Partizani Tirana

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.25	2.3
	2.8	3.1	2.35
	2.9	3.3	2.3
	2.87	3.25	2.35
				Watch
	2.9	3	2.45
	2.89	3.34	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.25)	3.21 ↓ (3.25)	2.36 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nõmme Kalju
32.3%

Draw
28.7%

Partizani Tirana
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

27.6%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nõmme Kalju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nõmme Kalju's form might have worsened.

Partizani Tirana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Partizani Tirana's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	23.3%	56.7%

Nõmme Kalju - Partizani Tirana Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Nõmme Kalju will win (votes: 6 - 20%). Partizani will win (votes: 17 - 56.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 23.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Partizani: 39% – 74.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Partizani (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Nõmme Kalju (1.97) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DNB - Partizani (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB, 1st Half - Partizani (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Nõmme Kalju (votes: 1 - 4.8%). Partizani (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
69. Pavlov M. (G) 78. Mashchenko D. 5. Korre U. 50. Podholjuzin M. (C) 20. Tambedou M. 8. Musolitin O. 26. Siht R. 6. Kask K. 7. Tarassenkov D. 27. Mannilaan M. 29. Patrikejevs I.	60. Qirko P. (G) 2. Martinez C. 23. Preka M. 7. Mehmeti A. 26. Buxhelaj P. 20. Kote G. 34. Sembene S. 82. Malaj T. 32. Garcia J. 10. Skuka X. (C) 9. Keko A.
Substitutes
21. Baptista T. 4. Boronilstsikov A. 87. Guilherme Smith 10. Ivanov N. 30. Jabir I. 96. Kindel J. (G) 3. Liit S. 17. Lotar Eyang E. E. 79. Marin P. 22. Nikolajev A. 11. Orlov M. 1. Perk H. (G)	3. Atanaskoski D. 5. Bytyci A. 29. Cipi M. 99. Gudjufi B. 14. Himallari E. 12. Hoxha A. (G) 39. Ogunleye K. 88. Rifa O. 25. Shanaj M. 40. Tahri S. (G) 28. Vata D.
Coaches
Andreev N.	Gega S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Malaj T. 🟨,
24', Tambedou M. 🟨,
37', Keko A. ↓, Himallari E. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, Mannilaan M. ⚽,
51', 1 - 1, Skuka X. ⚽,
61', Mashchenko D. ↓, Guilherme Smith ↑,
61', Kote G. ↓, Shanaj M. ↑,
73', Sembene S. 🟨,
76', Tarassenkov D. ↓, Nikolajev A. ↑,
81', Buxhelaj P. ↓, Atanaskoski D. ↑,
81', Garcia J. ↓, Vata D. ↑,
85', 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

In recent matches, Nõmme Kalju has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Partizani may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nõmme Kalju FC
Estonian Meistriliiga
06.07.25	Flora Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju	1:0 ✺
27.06.25	Pärnu Vaprus - Nõmme Kalju	2:2 ✺
21.06.25	Levadia Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju	3:1 ✺
18.06.25	Nõmme Kalju - Harju JK Laagri	1:0 ✺
15.06.25	Nõmme Kalju - Narva Trans	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLWW
- Partizani Tirana
Club Friendly
24.06.25	Rabotnički - Partizani Tirana	0:3 ✺
Albanian Super League
05.05.25	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Partizani Tirana	0:0 ✺
27.04.25	Partizani Tirana - AF Elbasani	2:0 ✺
Albanian Cup
23.04.25	Partizani Tirana - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0:2 ET ✺
Albanian Super League
19.04.25	Bylis Ballsh - Partizani Tirana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTWLL

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