Match Info

Estonian Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Hiiu Stadium (Tallinn)


	Nõmme Kalju		Viimsi JK

	1	X	2
	1.12	6.7	14.5
	1.20	5.74	12.46	Watch
	1.11	6.7	16.5
	1.06	8	21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 ↓ (1.4)	6.79 ↑ (4.5)	16.12 ↑ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nõmme Kalju
81%

Draw
13.4%

Viimsi JK
5.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

20%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

18.8%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nõmme Kalju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nõmme Kalju's performance.

Viimsi JK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Viimsi JK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nõmme Kalju that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viimsi JK than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Viimsi JK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nõmme Kalju - Viimsi JK Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 - Viimsi JK (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Viimsi JK (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
69. Pavlov M. (G) 2. Lillemets J. 20. Tambedou M. (C) 5. Korre U. 4. Boronilstsikov A. 8. Musolitin O. 29. Patrikejevs I. 79. Marin P. 21. Baptista T. 27. Mannilaan M. 9. Godwin C.	12. Lahe C. (G) 3. Jalle M. 20. Laidvee R. 25. Allast M. (C) 17. Seye M. A. 22. Laidvee R. 33. Kane R. 50. Saar R. 42. Magi O. 99. Vaherna M. 5. Ollik O.
Substitutes
77. Bernardo J. 10. Ivanov N. 30. Jabir I. 74. Jekimov F. 6. Kask K. 78. Mashchenko D. 22. Nikolajev A. 11. Orlov M. 1. Perk H. (G) 50. Podholjuzin M. 7. Tarassenkov D.	14. Kirsipuu S. 96. Kollist J. T. 6. Lode R. 38. Luts J. 56. Sapp M. (G) 77. Vahe R. 29. Valkna M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Seye M. A. ⚽,
32', Godwin C. 🟨,
42', Boronilstsikov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', 🟨,
72', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Nõmme Kalju is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Viimsi JK has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nõmme Kalju may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nõmme Kalju is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Nõmme Kalju will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nõmme Kalju FC
Estonian Meistriliiga
25.10.25	Kuressaare - Nõmme Kalju	0:1 ✺
22.10.25	Tallinna Kalev - Nõmme Kalju	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Harju JK Laagri - Nõmme Kalju	1:3 ✺
05.10.25	Nõmme Kalju - Pärnu Vaprus	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Nõmme Kalju - Flora Tallinn	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWW
- Viimsi JK
Estonian Esiliiga
27.10.25	Viimsi JK - Levadia Tallinn U21	1:2 ✺
23.10.25	Tammeka U21 - Viimsi JK	0:4 ✺
16.10.25	Viimsi JK - Flora U21	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Tartu Welco - Viimsi JK	1:4 ✺
27.09.25	Nõmme United - Viimsi JK	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWWL

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