Match Info

Meistriliiga - Round 24

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Laagri kunstmurustaadion (Laagri)

Referee: Kaivoja K. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Jalgpall.ee, Soccernet TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Harju JK Laagri		Nõmme Kalju

	1	X	2
	4.40	4.00	1.57
	4.75	4.20	1.54
	4.97	4.35	1.58
	4.74	4.26	1.6	Watch
	4.85	4.30	1.56
	4.68	4.37	1.60	Watch
	4.70	4.10	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.73 ↑ (4.33)	4.23 ↑ (4)	1.57 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harju JK Laagri
19.5%

Draw
21.8%

Nõmme Kalju
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

22.8%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

21.9%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harju JK Laagri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Nõmme Kalju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harju JK Laagri than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Harju JK Laagri - Nõmme Kalju Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vainula J. (G) 7. Reimaa R. 88. Seck M. 3. Kaevats A. 24. Laur K. 22. Kesa M. 6. Palutaja H. 66. Roomussaar K. 16. Kriis K. (C) 9. Eerme K. 19. Binate A.	1. Perk H. (C) 46. Vukusic R. 50. Podholjuzin M. 20. Tambedou M. 5. Korre U. 8. Musolitin O. 88. Sotsugov D. 26. Siht R. 4. Borolinstsikov A. 21. Baptista T. 17. Lotar Eyang E. E.
Substitutes
10. Assale Y. E. 18. Bah I. 47. Ennuste K. 41. Kajari E. 5. Kartau I. 17. Kelement M. 32. Kerge S. 11. Kose A. 79. Meesit R. (G) 36. Salei S. 95. Suppi S.	52. Idalecio 30. Jabir I. 74. Jekimov F. 22. Nikolajev A. 11. Orlov M. 69. Pavlov M. (G) 7. Tarassenkov D. 59. Vastsuk B.
Coaches
Nuuma L.	Andreev N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Kaevats A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', Palutaja H. ↓, Suppi S. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Reimaa R. ⚽,
67', Seck M. 🟨,
70', Tambedou M. 🟨,
71', Baptista T. ↓, Jabir I. ↑,
76', Eerme K. ↓, Assale Y. E. ↑,
78', Sotsugov D. ↓, Tarassenkov D. ↑,
80', Borolinstsikov A. 🟨,
82', Borolinstsikov A. ↓, Jekimov F. ↑,
82', Tambedou M. ↓, Nikolajev A. ↑,
83', Roomussaar K. ↓, Kelement M. ↑,
90+2', Suppi S. 🟨,
90+5', Korre U. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harju won 0.

In recent matches, Harju has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nõmme Kalju is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Harju may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nõmme Kalju is a strong favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Harju won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 8:22. (average 0.6:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Harju won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Kalju	29	15	5	9	52:27	25	50
6	Harju JK Laagri	29	11	2	16	40:47	-7	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harju JK Laagri
Estonian Meistriliiga
16.08.26	Harju JK Laagri - Levadia Tallinn	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	Kuressaare - Harju JK Laagri	3:2 ✺
02.08.26	Flora Tallinn - Harju JK Laagri	1:0 ✺
19.07.26	Harju JK Laagri - Paide LM	5:2 ✺
10.07.26	Harju JK Laagri - Narva Trans	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LLLWW
- Nõmme Kalju FC
Estonian Meistriliiga
16.08.26	Nõmme Kalju - Pärnu Vaprus	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Narva Trans - Nõmme Kalju	0:2 ✺
02.08.26	Nõmme Kalju - Tammeka	5:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Nõmme Kalju - Shelbourne	2:1 ✺
23.07.26	Shelbourne - Nõmme Kalju	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
20.05.26	Nõmme Kalju - Harju JK Laagri	1:0
08.04.26	Harju JK Laagri - Nõmme Kalju	0:2
19.10.25	Harju JK Laagri - Nõmme Kalju	1:3
24.09.25	Harju JK Laagri - Nõmme Kalju	2:3
18.06.25	Nõmme Kalju - Harju JK Laagri	1:0
09.04.25	Nõmme Kalju - Harju JK Laagri	3:0
Club Friendly
11.01.25	Nõmme Kalju - Harju JK Laagri	0:0

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