Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 11

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Hiiumaa spordikeskuse - artificial grass (Kärdla)


	Nõmme Kalju U21		Viimsi JK

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.85	1.38
	5.88	5.26	1.33
	4.76	4.79	1.48
	5.75	4.6	1.36
	5.92	5.12	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.56 ↑ (5.21)	4.92 ↑ (4.6)	1.39 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nõmme Kalju U21
16.3%

Draw
18.5%

Viimsi JK
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

20%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

19.4%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nõmme Kalju U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Viimsi JK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme Kalju U21 than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viimsi JK than the current prediction. (-1%)

Nõmme Kalju U21 - Viimsi JK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Godwin C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 1 - 1, Rumma R. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Meistriliiga (Promotion: )).

Nõmme Kalju U21 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Viimsi JK is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Viimsi JK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Viimsi JK is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju U21 won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:15. (average 0.8:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Nõmme Kalju U21 won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Viimsi JK	31	16	5	10	56:31	25	53
9	Nomme Kalju U21	31	7	4	20	38:79	-41	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nõmme Kalju U21
Estonian Esiliiga
11.05.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Levadia Tallinn U21	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Elva - Nõmme Kalju U21	2:4 ✺
27.04.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Tallinna Kalev	0:4 ✺
24.04.26	Nõmme United U21 - Nõmme Kalju U21	0:3 ✺
18.04.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Maardu Linnameeskond	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.7 WWLWW
- Viimsi JK
Estonian Esiliiga
09.05.26	Flora U21 - Viimsi JK	0:4 ✺
01.05.26	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Viimsi JK	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Viimsi JK - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:1 ✺
23.04.26	Viimsi JK - Tartu Welco	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	Viimsi JK - FC Tallinn	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
14.03.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Viimsi JK	0:0
09.11.25	Viimsi JK - Nõmme Kalju U21	4:0
04.08.25	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Viimsi JK	2:2
25.05.25	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Viimsi JK	2:4
29.03.25	Viimsi JK - Nõmme Kalju U21	5:0

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