Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 24

Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Hiiu Stadium (Tallinn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Nõmme Kalju U21		Tallinna Kalev

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.33	4.50	1.51
	3.30	4.00	1.71
	4.20	4.80	1.56
	3.71	4.68	1.64
	4.05	4.65	1.50
	3.90	5.20	1.61
	4.20	4.50	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↑ (2.89)	4.62 ↑ (4.15)	1.58 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nõmme Kalju U21
22.9%

Draw
19.6%

Tallinna Kalev
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

21.6%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

21%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nõmme Kalju U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nõmme Kalju U21's form might have worsened.

Tallinna Kalev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tallinna Kalev's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme Kalju U21 than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nõmme Kalju U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tallinna Kalev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Nõmme Kalju U21 - Tallinna Kalev Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kalev will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kalev (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Ilves R. ⚽, Mihhailov V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', 0 - 2, Ilves R. ⚽,
90+3', 0 - 3, De Pizzol O. ⚽,

Preview

Nõmme Kalju U21 is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Kalev is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kalev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Kalev has had a series of home games.

Kalev is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Kalev will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:9. (average 0.5:4.5).

Including home match between the teams, Nõmme Kalju U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Tallinna Kalev	30	11	7	12	52:55	-3	40
9	Nomme Kalju U21	31	7	4	20	38:79	-41	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nõmme Kalju U21
Estonian Esiliiga
17.08.26	Nõmme United U21 - Nõmme Kalju U21	2:0 ✺
10.08.26	Flora U21 - Nõmme Kalju U21	3:0 ✺
01.08.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:4 ✺
25.07.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Flora U21	0:5 ✺
18.07.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Levadia Tallinn U21	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Tallinna Kalev
Estonian Esiliiga
15.08.26	Tallinna Kalev - Elva	1:0 ✺
Estonian Cup
11.08.26	Tallinna Kalev - Tartu Kalev	8:0 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga
08.08.26	Tallinna Kalev - FC Tallinn	1:1 ✺
03.08.26	Viimsi JK - Tallinna Kalev	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Tallinna Kalev - Nõmme United U21	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
21.06.26	Tallinna Kalev - Nõmme Kalju U21	5:1
27.04.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Tallinna Kalev	0:4

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