Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 30

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Männiku Stadium (Tallinn)


	Nõmme United		Viimsi JK

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.6	4.05	4.15
	1.6	3.98	4.17
	1.81	3.99	3.54	Watch
	1.61	4.1	4.3
	2.07	3.6	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.03)	3.94 ↑ (3.58)	3.84 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nõmme United
52.8%

Draw
23.3%

Viimsi JK
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

25.4%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

24.8%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nõmme United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nõmme United's performance.

Viimsi JK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Viimsi JK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme United than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nõmme United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viimsi JK than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Viimsi JK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nõmme United - Viimsi JK Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Viimsi JK (2.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Viimsi JK (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lagus G. (G) 49. Beglarishvili Z. 55. Chanda R. 10. Frolov A. (C) 23. Laanelaid K. 20. Matas K. 3. Merilai S. 6. Palts M. 22. Radomskiy A. 13. Truuvaart A. 14. Vassiljev N.	56. Sapp M. (G) 25. Allast M. (C) 20. Laidvee R. 22. Laidvee R. 38. Luts J. 27. Magi K. 43. Murage J. 5. Ollik O. 17. Seye M. A. 24. Talu R. 99. Vaherna M.
Substitutes
4. Alteberg A. 11. Benjamin C. 50. Kaspar A. 92. Kokka K. 12. Marmei M. 80. Molder K. 79. Ossep L. 71. Purg G. (G) 8. Vain B.	31. De Pizzol O. 3. Jalle M. 33. Kane R. 96. Kollist J. T. 12. Lahe C. (G) 50. Saar R. 77. Vahe R. 29. Valkna M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', 🟨,
26', 🟨,
31', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
88', 1 - 0, Benjamin C. ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,
90+5', 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nõmme United won 2.

Nõmme United is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Viimsi JK is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nõmme United might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Nõmme United won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 0.9:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Nõmme United won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nõmme United
Estonian Esiliiga
22.09.25	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Nõmme United	0:4 ✺
18.09.25	Nõmme United - Tartu Welco	5:2 ✺
13.09.25	Elva - Nõmme United	1:4 ✺
31.08.25	Nõmme United - FC Tallinn	6:0 ✺
23.08.25	Nõmme United - Nõmme Kalju U21	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWW
- Viimsi JK
Estonian Esiliiga
22.09.25	Viimsi JK - Elva	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Viimsi JK	0:5 ✺
14.09.25	Viimsi JK - Tammeka U21	6:0 ✺
31.08.25	Flora U21 - Viimsi JK	1:0 ✺
25.08.25	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Viimsi JK	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
11.08.25	Viimsi JK - Nõmme United	1:1
29.05.25	Viimsi JK - Nõmme United	1:0
13.03.25	Nõmme United - Viimsi JK	2:0
28.09.23	Nõmme United - Viimsi JK	0:0
03.07.23	Viimsi JK - Nõmme United	0:1
06.05.23	Nõmme United - Viimsi JK	2:1
08.04.23	Viimsi JK - Nõmme United	1:1

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