Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 26

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Männiku Stadium (Tallinn)


	Nõmme United		FC Tallinn

	1	X	2
	1.21	6.25	8.25
	1.18	6.5	9.4	Watch
	1.19	6.9	8.17
	1.04	1.00	1.00	Watch
	1.17	6.5	11.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.17)	5.43 ↓ (6.68)	7.58 ↓ (9.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nõmme United
73.2%

Draw
15.6%

FC Tallinn
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.8%

13.5%

9.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nõmme United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

FC Tallinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Nõmme United - FC Tallinn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lagus G. (G) 23. Laanelaid K. 55. Chanda R. 6. Palts M. 3. Merilai S. 14. Vassiljev N. 22. Radomskiy A. 13. Truuvaart A. 51. Beglarishvili Z. (C) 9. Ounapuu E. 92. Kokka K.	16. Bolgov S. (G) 72. Dzemesjuk M. 30. Tsurilkin V. (C) 95. Avilov V. 21. Tinyakov M. 22. Salamatov N. 10. Dmitrijev A. 44. Nesterov K. 29. Toropov A. 20. Arhipov L. 9. Kulik V.
Substitutes
10. Frolov A. 7. Leppik R. 12. Marmei M. 20. Matas K. 52. Medvedev A. 80. Molder K. 79. Ossep L. 71. Purg G. (G) 8. Vain B.	74. Ekharts D. 7. Golovljov E. 4. Mohhov I. 18. Plotnikov V. 11. Shevchuk N. 25. Usachev M. (G) 26. Uskov I. 27. Ussatsov I. 77. Vynnychuk A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Ounapuu E. ⚽, Merilai S. (A),
11', 2 - 0, Ounapuu E. ⚽,
20', 3 - 0, Ounapuu E. ⚽, Laanelaid K. (A),
26', Kulik V. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', Kulik V. ↓, Golovljov E. ↑,
48', Toropov A. 🟨,
49', 4 - 0, Ounapuu E. (Pen),
55', Merilai S. ↓, Matas K. ↑,
56', Kokka K. ↓, Molder K. ↑,
56', Ounapuu E. ↓, Ossep L. ↑,
59', Arhipov L. 🟨,
65', 5 - 0, Chanda R. ⚽,
74', Arhipov L. 🟨,
75', Truuvaart A. ↓, Vain B. ↑,
82', Ossep L. 🟨,
86', 6 - 0, Vain B. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nõmme United won 3.

Nõmme United is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

FC Tallinn is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Nõmme United is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Nõmme United won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:6. (average 2.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Nõmme United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:2. (average 3.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nõmme United
Estonian Esiliiga
23.08.25	Nõmme United - Nõmme Kalju U21	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Tammeka U21 - Nõmme United	1:3 ✺
11.08.25	Viimsi JK - Nõmme United	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Nõmme United - Levadia Tallinn U21	0:2 ✺
28.07.25	Tartu Welco - Nõmme United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWTLW
- FC Tallinn
Estonian Esiliiga
23.08.25	FC Tallinn - Tartu Welco	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	FC Tallinn - Elva	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Nõmme Kalju U21 - FC Tallinn	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	FC Tallinn - Flora U21	2:3 ✺
26.07.25	Levadia Tallinn U21 - FC Tallinn	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
10.05.25	Nõmme United - FC Tallinn	4:0
01.03.25	FC Tallinn - Nõmme United	1:2
29.10.23	FC Tallinn - Nõmme United	2:2
19.08.23	Nõmme United - FC Tallinn	5:0
14.05.23	Nõmme United - FC Tallinn	1:2
02.04.23	FC Tallinn - Nõmme United	1:3

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