The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nõmme United 69.9%
Draw 15.6%
Tartu Welco 14.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.7%
21.7%
19.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.4%
20.4%
18.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nõmme United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nõmme United's performance.
Tartu Welco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme United than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nõmme United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tartu Welco than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Nõmme United - Tartu Welco Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nõmme United (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Nõmme United will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lagus G. (G) 3. Merilai S. 23. Laanelaid K. 55. Chanda R. 6. Palts M. 51. Beglarishvili Z. 10. Frolov A. (C) 22. Radomskiy A. 20. Matas K. 9. Ounapuu E. 13. Truuvaart A.
22. Agarmaa M. (G) 33. Teniste T. (C) 34. Saareleht T. 3. Paul J. 5. Reesar R. 20. Mugra M. 40. Viira S. 21. Vool A. 88. Manucho 10. Bawa S. 11. Magi M.
Substitutes
4. Alteberg A. 11. Benjamin C. 92. Kokka K. 12. Marmei M. 91. Ortega R. (G) 79. Ossep L. 30. Riisenberg M. 8. Vain B. 14. Vassiljev N.
91. Bachmann T. (G) 27. Ernits H. 9. Mottus E. 18. Penu M. 70. Petmanson J. 32. Salu R. 13. Sokolov I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Ounapuu E. ⚽,
10', 2 - 0, Beglarishvili Z. ⚽,
15', 3 - 0, Palts M. ⚽,
18', 4 - 0, Truuvaart A. ⚽,
24', 4 - 1, Manucho ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 5 - 1, Ounapuu E. ⚽,
64', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
70', 5 - 2, Magi M. ⚽,
80', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nõmme United won 3.
Nõmme United is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Tartu Welco has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Nõmme United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Nõmme United is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Nõmme United will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nõmme United won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:7. (average 2.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Nõmme United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).