Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 28

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday

Location: Kalevi Keskstaadion (Tallinn)


	Tallinna Kalev U21		Viimsi JK

	1	X	2
	7.7	5.7	1.24
	8.69	6.17	1.28
	7.55	5.4	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.98 ↑ (5.61)	5.76 ↓ (6.35)	1.27 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallinna Kalev U21
11.5%

Draw
16%

Viimsi JK
72.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

14.3%

69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6%

13.8%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna Kalev U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Viimsi JK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna Kalev U21 than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viimsi JK than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Tallinna Kalev U21 - Viimsi JK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vetkal M. (G) 16. Kirt A. 23. Ernits R. 6. Seimoja T. 2. Kahro K. 29. Tomberg M. 14. Sal-Al-Saller D. 8. Laasner K. (C) 11. Leis L. 9. Ilves R. 7. Jaritsa E.	56. Sapp M. (G) 25. Allast M. (C) 20. Laidvee R. 17. Seye M. A. 50. Saar R. 38. Luts J. 43. Murage J. 3. Jalle M. 10. Krimm N. 99. Vaherna M. 27. Magi K.
Substitutes
19. Esna J. 13. Kaljurand J. (G) 20. Kirss H. 3. Korasteljov K. 27. Kubensky S. 10. Lasn O. 15. Mellis V. 17. Oja R. 26. Tammepold H.	31. De Pizzol O. 14. Kirsipuu S. 96. Kollist J. T. 42. Magi O. 24. Talu R. 77. Vahe R. 29. Valkna M. 1. Vigla G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Krimm N. (Pen),
25', Seye M. A. 🟨,
31', 0 - 2, Luts J. ⚽, Krimm N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
57', 0 - 3, Krimm N. ⚽,
60', 0 - 4, De Pizzol O. (Pen),
77', 0 - 5, Kirsipuu S. ⚽,
83', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalev U21 won 1.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, Viimsi JK is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kalev U21 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:21. (average 0.9:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kalev U21 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallinna Kalev U21
Estonian Esiliiga
12.09.25	Tallinna Kalev U21 - FC Tallinn	2:2 ✺
31.08.25	Tartu Welco - Tallinna Kalev U21	1:2 ✺
24.08.25	Elva - Tallinna Kalev U21	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Nõmme Kalju U21	2:2 ✺
10.08.25	Flora U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 36.1 TWWTT
- Viimsi JK
Estonian Esiliiga
14.09.25	Viimsi JK - Tammeka U21	6:0 ✺
31.08.25	Flora U21 - Viimsi JK	1:0 ✺
25.08.25	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Viimsi JK	0:2 ✺
18.08.25	Viimsi JK - Tartu Welco	3:2 ✺
11.08.25	Viimsi JK - Nõmme United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
28.07.25	Viimsi JK - Tallinna Kalev U21	1:0
09.05.25	Viimsi JK - Tallinna Kalev U21	4:0
10.04.25	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Viimsi JK	0:4
02.11.24	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Viimsi JK	3:1
05.08.24	Viimsi JK - Tallinna Kalev U21	6:0
16.06.24	Viimsi JK - Tallinna Kalev U21	3:1
17.03.24	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Viimsi JK	2:2

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