Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 3

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Max-Morlock-Stadion (Nuremberg)

Referee: Schwengers P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Nürnberg		Arminia Bielefeld

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.6	2.7	Watch
	2.20	3.60	3.00
	2.12	3.45	2.95	Watch
	2.44	3.73	2.92
	2.24	3.64	3.03	Watch
	2.4	3.65	2.8
	2.33	3.64	2.88	Watch
	2.34	3.6	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (1.85)	3.61 ↓ (3.75)	2.89 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nürnberg
41%

Draw
26.2%

Arminia Bielefeld
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nürnberg's form might have worsened.

Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arminia Bielefeld's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nürnberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arminia Bielefeld, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	10.5%	5.3%

Nürnberg - Arminia Bielefeld Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Nürnberg (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Nürnberg will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nürnberg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reichert J. (C) 32. Janisch T. 4. Kalogeropoulos A. 36. Mandic K. 41. Porstner E. 6. Markhiev A. 8. Fernandez J. 10. Justvan J. 22. Becker F. 23. Zoma M. A. 19. Scobel P.	1. Kersken J. (G) 7. Koudossou H. 19. Grosser M. 5. Bauer M. (C) 29. Handwerker T. 21. Russo S. 8. Schreck S. 14. Momuluh M. 6. Mehlem M. 10. Rochelt J. 11. Grodowski J.
Substitutes
14. Ceresoli A. 44. El Haija K. 7. Ghrieb R. 9. Haugen S. 35. Kornwachs Barjuan M. 13. Lisewski R. (G) 18. Lubach R. 21. Masouras G. 16. Soldic M.	27. Boakye B. 3. Felix J. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 17. Sicker A. 28. Uldrikis R. 42. Wegener T. 38. Worl M. 44. Yasar E. 30. Young I.
Coaches
Klose M.	Kirch O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Zoma M. A. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Janisch T. ⚽, Becker F. (A),
38', 3 - 0, Markhiev A. ⚽, Porstner E. (A),
45+1', Mandic K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Schreck S. ↓, Worl M. ↑,
57', Grodowski J. ↓, Boakye B. ↑,
60', Zoma M. A. 🟨,
63', Justvan J. ↓, Lubach R. ↑,
67', 4 - 0, Markhiev A. ⚽,
70', Janisch T. ↓, Masouras G. ↑,
70', Scobel P. ↓, Haugen S. ↑,
71', Mehlem M. ↓, Wegener T. ↑,
71', Rochelt J. ↓, Uldrikis R. ↑,
76', 4 - 1, Worl M. ⚽,
82', Momuluh M. ↓, Young I. ↑,
83', Becker F. ↓, Soldic M. ↑,
83', Zoma M. A. ↓, Ghrieb R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 2.

Nürnberg has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Arminia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Nürnberg could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Nürnberg: Ceresoli A. (Inactive) Faye M. (Illness) Mkrtchyan S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Arminia: Schneider L. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Nürnberg: Kalogeropoulos A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Arminia: Young I. (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Nürnberg won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Nurnberg: 17.78% Arminia Bielefeld: 0.89%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Nurnberg	7	5	2	0	20:10	10	17
15	Arminia Bielefeld	6	1	2	3	10:12	-2	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Nürnberg
German DFB Pokal
22.08.26	Viktoria Köln - Nürnberg	1:2 penalties ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
15.08.26	Greuther Fürth - Nürnberg	2:4 ✺
09.08.26	Nürnberg - Dynamo Dresden	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Nürnberg - Real Oviedo	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Nürnberg - Waldhof Mannheim	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWWW
- Arminia Bielefeld
German DFB Pokal
22.08.26	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Arminia Bielefeld	3:2 penalties ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
16.08.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Energie Cottbus	3:0 ✺
08.08.26	Karlsruher - Arminia Bielefeld	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Duisburg	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Bologna - Arminia Bielefeld	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
18.04.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Nürnberg	1:1
23.11.25	Nürnberg - Arminia Bielefeld	2:0
17.03.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Nürnberg	2:2
09.09.22	Nürnberg - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0
06.06.20	Arminia Bielefeld - Nürnberg	1:1
10.11.19	Nürnberg - Arminia Bielefeld	1:5
09.03.18	Arminia Bielefeld - Nürnberg	1:0

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