Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 10

Date: 25 October 2024, Friday

Location: Max-Morlock-Stadion (Nuremberg)

Referee: Braun R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 6
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Iceland	Viaplay
Montenegro	Sportklub 6
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 6
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Slovakia	Sport TV2
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 3
Usa	ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	Nürnberg		Jahn Regensburg

	1	X	2
	1.65	4	4.75	Watch
	1.72	3.9	4.5
	1.68	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.7	4.1	5.24
	1.69	4.09	4.67	Watch
	1.67	3.9	4.5
	1.8	3.85	4.25	Watch
	1.68	3.75	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.8)	3.92 ↑ (3.9)	4.68 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nürnberg
55.7%

Draw
24.1%

Jahn Regensburg
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

24.3%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

23.8%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Jahn Regensburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.4%	5.7%	2.9%

Nürnberg - Jahn Regensburg Predictions

Users Predictions: Nürnberg will win (62 of 68 users predict this - 91.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.44% – 97.92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reichert J. (G) 4. Jeltsch F. 31. Knoche R. (C) 44. Karafiat O. 2. Villadsen O. 20. Jander C. 3. Soares D. T. 10. Justvan J. 17. Castrop J. 30. Emreli M. 9. Tzimas S.	1. Gebhardt F. (C) 14. Ziegele R. 13. Bittroff A. 16. Breunig L. 33. Proger K. 5. Bulic R. 10. Viet C. 25. Bauer J. 15. Ernst S. 9. Hottmann E. 27. Kother D.
Substitutes
6. Flick F. 14. Goller B. 43. Hofmann J. 18. Lubach R. 26. Mathenia C. (G) 7. Pick F. 36. Schleimer L. 33. Seidel N. 21. Yilmaz B.	18. Anspach N. 21. Eisenhuth T. 39. Galjen D. 20. Ganaus N. 8. Geipl A. 29. Huth E. 30. Kuhlwetter C. 11. Ochojski N. 32. Weidinger A. (G)
Coaches
Klose M.	Enochs J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
10', Bittroff A. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Tzimas S. ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, Emreli M. ⚽,
30', Bauer J. 🟨,
36', 2 - 1, Hottmann E. ⚽, Kother D. (A),
42', 2 - 2, Viet C. (Pen),
45+1', 3 - 2, Justvan J. ⚽, Soares D. T. (A),
2nd Half (5 - 1)
46', Soares D. T. ↓, Yilmaz B. ↑,
49', 3 - 3, Proger K. ⚽, Viet C. (A),
59', 4 - 3, Justvan J. ⚽,
60', Bauer J. ↓, Ochojski N. ↑,
69', Tzimas S. ↓, Schleimer L. ↑,
69', Emreli M. ↓, Goller B. ↑,
74', 5 - 3, Justvan J. (Pen),
77', Ernst S. ↓, Ganaus N. ↑,
77', Hottmann E. ↓, Huth E. ↑,
81', 6 - 3, Schleimer L. ⚽, Justvan J. (A),
82', Kother D. ↓, Kuhlwetter C. ↑,
82', Bittroff A. ↓, Galjen D. ↑,
83', 7 - 3, Castrop J. ⚽,
84', Villadsen O. ↓, Hofmann J. ↑,
84', Castrop J. ↓, Flick F. ↑,
85', Ochojski N. 🟨,
90+2', 8 - 3, Karafiat O. ⚽, Schleimer L. (A),

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nürnberg won 2.

Recent matches Nürnberg is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Regensburg has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Nürnberg is a favorite.

There will not play in Nürnberg: Forkel D. (Knee Injury) Handwerker T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Regensburg: Hein B. (Red Card) Meyer M. (Broken ankle) Schmidt C. (Knee Injury) Schonfelder O. (Knee Injury) Wurm L. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Regensburg: Saller B. (Groin Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Nürnberg won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:13 (average 1.2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Nürnberg won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Nürnberg
German 2 Bundesliga
20.10.24	Greuther Fürth - Nürnberg	0:4 ✺
05.10.24	Nürnberg - Preußen Münster	3:2 ✺
29.09.24	Hannover - Nürnberg	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Nürnberg - Hertha Berlin	0:2 ✺
14.09.24	Ulm 1846 - Nürnberg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWLLW
- Jahn Regensburg
German 2 Bundesliga
19.10.24	Jahn Regensburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Augsburg - Jahn Regensburg	1:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
04.10.24	Paderborn - Jahn Regensburg	3:0 ✺
28.09.24	Jahn Regensburg - Kaiserslautern	0:0 ✺
22.09.24	Jahn Regensburg - Preußen Münster	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
11.02.23	Nürnberg - Jahn Regensburg	1:0
06.08.22	Jahn Regensburg - Nürnberg	0:0
19.02.22	Nürnberg - Jahn Regensburg	2:0
12.09.21	Jahn Regensburg - Nürnberg	2:2
27.01.21	Nürnberg - Jahn Regensburg	0:1
18.09.20	Jahn Regensburg - Nürnberg	1:1
Club Friendly
11.08.20	Jahn Regensburg - Nürnberg	0:1

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