Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 8

Date: 4 October 2024, Friday

Location: Home Deluxe Arena (Paderborn)

Referee: Prigan F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4
Serbia	Nova Sport
Slovenia	Sport TV3
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 3
World	Onefootball app


	Paderborn		Jahn Regensburg

	1	X	2
	1.38	5	7	Watch
	1.43	5	6.75
	1.38	5	7	Watch
	1.4	5.43	7.46
	1.39	5.39	7.62	Watch
	1.35	5	7.5	Watch
	1.4	5.1	7.1	Watch
	1.38	5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.46)	5.12 ↑ (4.79)	7.18 ↑ (6.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paderborn
68.3%

Draw
18.5%

Jahn Regensburg
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

19.8%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

19.2%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Jahn Regensburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Paderborn - Jahn Regensburg Predictions

Users Predictions: Paderborn will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Boevink P. (G) 17. Curda L. 20. Gotze F. 4. Brackelmann C. 23. Obermair R. (C) 26. Klaas S. 5. Castaneda S. 32. Zehnter A. 10. Kostons K. 11. Michel S. 7. Bilbija F.	1. Gebhardt F. (G) 37. Wurm L. 3. Hein B. 16. Breunig L. 33. Proger K. 10. Viet C. 8. Geipl A. (C) 5. Bulic R. 30. Kuhlwetter C. 27. Kother D. 20. Ganaus N.
Substitutes
29. Ansah I. 9. Baur M. 39. Grimaldi A. 19. Herrmann L. 33. Hoffmeier M. 8. Kinsombi D. 16. Musliu V. 25. Scheller T. 30. Schubert M. (G)	4. Ballas F. 25. Bauer J. 15. Ernst S. 9. Hottmann E. 29. Huth E. 31. Meyer M. 40. Ouro-Tagba M. 23. Pollersbeck J. (G) 14. Ziegele R.
Coaches
Kwasniok L.	Enochs J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Klaas S. ⚽, Obermair R. (A),
23', Wurm L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kother D. ↓, Hottmann E. ↑,
46', Ganaus N. ↓, Ernst S. ↑,
60', Klaas S. 🟨,
65', 2 - 0, Zehnter A. ⚽,
68', Kostons K. ↓, Ansah I. ↑,
68', Michel S. ↓, Baur M. ↑,
70', Geipl A. 🟨,
74', Geipl A. ↓, Huth E. ↑,
78', Klaas S. ↓, Kinsombi D. ↑,
80', Bulic R. 🟨,
81', 3 - 0, Kinsombi D. (Pen),
84', Bilbija F. ↓, Grimaldi A. ↑,
84', Castaneda S. ↓, Herrmann L. ↑,
85', Ansah I. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paderborn won 1.

Recent matches Paderborn is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Regensburg has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Paderborn is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Paderborn: Hansen M. (Ankle Injury) Schulz A. (Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Regensburg: Ochojski N. (Muscle Injury) Saller B. (Groin Injury) Schmidt C. (Knee Injury) Schonfelder O. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Paderborn: Platte F. (Illness)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Paderborn won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:12 (average 0.9:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Paderborn won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:4 (average 1.5:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Paderborn 07
German 2 Bundesliga
28.09.24	Hamburger SV - Paderborn	2:2 ✺
20.09.24	Paderborn - Hannover	2:1 ✺
13.09.24	Preußen Münster - Paderborn	3:3 ✺
01.09.24	Paderborn - Ulm 1846	0:0 ✺
24.08.24	Greuther Fürth - Paderborn	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWTTT
- Jahn Regensburg
German 2 Bundesliga
28.09.24	Jahn Regensburg - Kaiserslautern	0:0 ✺
22.09.24	Jahn Regensburg - Preußen Münster	0:3 ✺
15.09.24	Hamburger SV - Jahn Regensburg	5:0 ✺
30.08.24	Jahn Regensburg - Greuther Fürth	0:4 ✺
24.08.24	Hertha Berlin - Jahn Regensburg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
18.03.23	Jahn Regensburg - Paderborn	1:0
10.09.22	Paderborn - Jahn Regensburg	3:0
20.03.22	Jahn Regensburg - Paderborn	1:0
15.10.21	Paderborn - Jahn Regensburg	1:1
26.02.21	Jahn Regensburg - Paderborn	1:0
31.10.20	Paderborn - Jahn Regensburg	3:1
30.01.19	Jahn Regensburg - Paderborn	2:0

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