Match Info

Copa Norte - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Arena da Amazonia (Manaus)


	Nacional AM		Porto Velho

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.75	3.65	4.12
	1.80	3.64	3.88	Watch
	1.67	3.6	4.2
	1.65	3.64	4.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.84)	3.63 ↑ (3.5)	4.18 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional AM
53.1%

Draw
25.1%

Porto Velho
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

26.6%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25.6%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional AM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Porto Velho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional AM than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Porto Velho aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Nacional AM - Porto Velho Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Custodio M. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 1 - 1, Erick Varao ⚽,
Penalties (2 - 0)
1, Gabriel Davis (Penalty Awarded),
1, Renanzinho (Penalty Awarded),
2, dos Santos Moreira D. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Miliano (Penalty Awarded),
3, Franca (Penalty Awarded),
3, Kaio Wilker (Penalty Awarded),
4, Anderson S. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Nacional AM is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Porto Velho has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Nacional AM may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nacional AM is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional AM
Brazilian Serie D
03.05.26	Nacional AM - São Raimundo PR	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Norte
29.04.26	Nacional AM - Guaporé	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
25.04.26	Manauara - Nacional AM	4:2 ✺
19.04.26	Nacional AM - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Norte
15.04.26	Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - Nacional AM	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWLWW
- Porto Velho EC
Brazilian Serie D
02.05.26	Independência - Porto Velho	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Norte
29.04.26	Porto Velho - Águia de Marabá	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
25.04.26	Guaporé - Porto Velho	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Porto Velho - Araguaína	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Norte
15.04.26	Amazonas - Porto Velho	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 TTLLL

Nacional AM - Porto Velho: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide