Match Info

Date: 21 November 2020, Saturday


	Nacional PR		Deportivo Toledo

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.75	2.55
	2.26	3.8	2.48
	2.35	4.05	2.56
	2.3	3.6	2.6
	2.3	3.75	2.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.5)	3.79 ↑ (3.6)	2.56 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional PR
40.1%

Draw
24.1%

Deportivo Toledo
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

25%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

18.3%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional PR has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Deportivo Toledo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional PR than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional PR, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Toledo than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Toledo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Nacional PR is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Toledo has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Toledo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Toledo have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nacional PR won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional AC Sociedade Civil
Brazilian Serie D
13.11.20	Cabofriense - Nacional PR	7:0 ✺
07.11.20	Nacional PR - Portuguesa RJ	0:5 ✺
01.11.20	Bangu - Nacional PR	0:0 ✺
25.10.20	FC Cascavel - Nacional PR	2:0 ✺
22.10.20	Nacional PR - Mirassol	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 LLTLT
- Deportivo Toledo
Brazilian Serie D
14.11.20	Deportivo Toledo - Mirassol	0:4 ✺
07.11.20	Ferroviária - Deportivo Toledo	5:1 ✺
24.10.20	Bangu - Deportivo Toledo	1:0 ✺
17.10.20	Cabofriense - Deportivo Toledo	1:0 ✺
11.10.20	FC Cascavel - Deportivo Toledo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
27.09.20	Deportivo Toledo - Nacional PR	2:3

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