The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nacional Potosí 57.3%
Draw 22.1%
GVCD San José 20.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.1%
20.7%
20.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.8%
20.1%
19.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Potosí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
GVCD San José has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for GVCD San José than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Nacional Potosí - GVCD San José Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Galindo P. (G) 15. Arce Pari J. 6. Restrepo E. 33. Demiquel L. 16. Torrico A. 22. Hoyos D. 18. Azogue P. (C) 7. Solis M. 10. Nunez M. 19. Alvarez W. 25. Orellana J.
1. Mustafa S. (G) 2. Ramallo J. 26. Lencinas J. (C) 33. Landa A. 4. Vaca G. 18. Pinto S. 5. Aviles M. 22. Araujo W. 10. Galindo S. 77. Vasquez F. 7. Caceres A.
Substitutes
3. Amarilla N. 1. Arauz E. (G) 17. Garcia A. 14. Guerra J. 30. Martinez Y. 4. Patzi A. 28. Pena S. 29. Pinto D. 26. Quiroz K. 11. Rojas J. 9. Tobar T. 24. Zeballos L.
20. Aguilar F. 13. Arauz G. (G) 14. Calero D. 30. Lujan P. 11. Monterubianessi T. 8. Orihuela R. 17. Ribera D. 6. Serrano L. 16. Tumiri E. 99. Vargas J. 15. Villamil S. 19. Villarroel S.
Coaches
Marquez A.
Rubinich P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Pinto S. 🟨,
28', Galindo S. 🟨,
45+1', Orellana J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Araujo W. ↓, Villamil S. ↑,
46', Solis M. ↓, Pena S. ↑,
57', Nunez M. 🟥,
62', 0 - 1, Pinto S. ⚽, Vaca G. (A),
66', Orellana J. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
66', Hoyos D. ↓, Amarilla N. ↑,
72', Aviles M. 🟨,
74', Vasquez F. ↓, Calero D. ↑,
77', Pinto S. ↓, Tumiri E. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Torrico A. ⚽,
79', Alvarez W. ↓, Tobar T. ↑,
83', Calero D. 🟨,
87', Aviles M. ↓, Lujan P. ↑,
90+1', Villamil S. 🟨,
90+2', Demiquel L. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional Potosí won 1.
Recent performances by Nacional Potosí have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
GVCD San José has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
GVCD San José may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Nacional Potosí is considered a favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Nacional Potosí won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Nacional Potosí won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).