Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 13

Date: 5 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte (Potosí)

Referee: Aleman J. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Entel Gol 56
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Nacional Potosí		The Strongest

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.5	2.65	Watch
	2.25	3.30	2.60
	2.28	3.45	2.78	Watch
	2.27	3.58	2.86
	2.45	3.5	2.7	Watch
	2.2	3.45	2.65
	2.52	3.51	2.58	Watch
	2.23	3.35	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.25)	3.46 ↓ (3.74)	2.69 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nacional Potosí
39.5%

Draw
26.5%

The Strongest
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

25%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

26.2%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Potosí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

The Strongest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for The Strongest than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Nacional Potosí - The Strongest Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The Strongest will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Galindo P. (G) 21. Baldomar O. 3. Amarilla N. 33. Demiquel L. 16. Torrico A. 10. Nunez M. 15. Arce Pari J. 18. Azogue P. (C) 28. Pena S. 9. Tobar T. 27. Abastoflor C.	1. Banegas L. (G) 22. Saucedo W. 4. Chiatti M. 3. Pedraza P. 21. Quaglio F. 6. Welch J. 10. Castro R. 17. Estacio A. 30. Arrascaita J. (C) 31. Cuellar J. 14. Lom D.
Substitutes
19. Alvarez W. 1. Arauz E. (G) 2. Avila R. 17. Garcia A. 22. Hoyos D. 30. Martinez Y. 25. Orellana J. 4. Patzi A. 8. Pavia L. 7. Solis M. 11. Tomianovic M. 99. Villalba D.	15. Arce S. 16. Cuellar V. 37. Espiritu P. 29. Portuncho Y. 36. Ribera R. 19. Roca C. 7. Romay K. 27. Saavedra 8. Salvatierra Flores K. F. 26. Sotomayor G. 12. Valdivia D. (G) 9. Ventura C.
Coaches
Villegas E.	Paz Garcia J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Tobar T. ⚽, Baldomar O. (A),
23', 2 - 0, Torrico A. ⚽, Nunez M. (A),
27', Saucedo W. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 1, Arrascaita J. ⚽, Cuellar J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 2 - 2, Estacio A. ⚽,
61', Saucedo W. ↓, Ventura C. ↑,
61', Cuellar J. ↓, Saavedra ↑,
63', Torrico A. ↓, Orellana J. ↑,
71', Azogue P. 🟨,
79', Orellana J. 🟨,
82', Arrascaita J. ↓, Sotomayor G. ↑,
82', Abastoflor C. ↓, Pavia L. ↑,
82', Nunez M. ↓, Tomianovic M. ↑,
82', Tobar T. ↓, Alvarez W. ↑,
83', 2 - 3, Lom D. ⚽, Sotomayor G. (A),
90+1', Castro R. ↓, Cuellar V. ↑,
90+1', Estacio A. ↓, Romay K. ↑,
90+5', Pena S. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional Potosí won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Nacional Potosí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional Potosí won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 26:47. (average 1.3:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Nacional Potosí won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1.8:2.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	The Strongest	20	12	6	2	39:22	17	42
9	Nacional Potosi	20	8	3	9	30:28	2	27

Last Results with these Odds

Nacional Potosí - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.48%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Potosí
Bolivian Division Profesional
02.08.26	Oriente Petrolero - Nacional Potosí	1:0 ✺
26.07.26	Nacional Potosí - Real Tomayapo	4:1 ✺
20.07.26	Nacional Potosí - Real Oruro	1:4 ✺
12.07.26	Real Potosí - Nacional Potosí	1:1 ✺
09.07.26	Nacional Potosí - Aurora	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLTW
- The Strongest
Bolivian Division Profesional
31.07.26	The Strongest - Aurora	1:1 ✺
26.07.26	Blooming - The Strongest	1:1 ✺
19.07.26	GVCD San José - The Strongest	0:0 ✺
15.07.26	The Strongest - Oriente Petrolero	2:1 ✺
12.07.26	The Strongest - Bolívar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
04.03.26	The Strongest - Nacional Potosí	5:1
01.03.26	Nacional Potosí - The Strongest	2:0
Bolivian Copa Pacena
18.12.25	Nacional Potosí - The Strongest	1:0
16.12.25	The Strongest - Nacional Potosí	1:2
Bolivian Division Profesional
09.08.25	Nacional Potosí - The Strongest	0:2
06.04.25	The Strongest - Nacional Potosí	2:0
25.09.24	Nacional Potosí - The Strongest	1:1

Upcoming Matches