Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 6

Date: 9 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte (Potosí)


	Nacional Potosí		Aurora

	1	X	2
	1.62	4	3.8	Watch
	1.73	3.60	3.70
	1.88	3.75	3.45	Watch
	2.06	3.65	3.41
	1.89	3.9	3.6	Watch
	1.96	3.5	3.35
	1.7	4.16	4.12	Watch
	1.86	3.7	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.69)	3.78 ↓ (3.88)	3.6 ↓ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nacional Potosí
50.1%

Draw
24.3%

Aurora
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

23.7%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

24.6%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Potosí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional Potosí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	9.5%	19%

Nacional Potosí - Aurora Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Aurora will win (votes: 4 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional Potosí: 52.1% – 90.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Galindo P. (G) 21. Baldomar O. 6. Restrepo E. 33. Demiquel L. 16. Torrico A. 10. Nunez M. 15. Arce Pari J. 18. Azogue P. (C) 7. Solis M. 99. Villalba D. 19. Alvarez W.	12. Cordano R. (G) 32. Altamirano S. 3. Barboza L. (C) 4. Vidaurre I. 21. Ortiz M. 16. Barro L. 19. Sanchez E. 8. Viviani L. 69. Terrazas A. 10. Ramallo R. 9. Rangel M.
Substitutes
27. Abastoflor C. 3. Amarilla N. 1. Arauz E. (G) 20. Cano E. 17. Garcia A. 30. Martinez Y. 34. Medina K. 25. Orellana J. 8. Pavia L. 28. Pena S. 29. Pinto D. 26. Quiroz K.	2. Aguada M. 5. Amarilla A. 15. Cordova J. 27. Flores A. 18. Rojas S. 34. Segovia J. 30. Suarez S. 1. Terrazas J. (G) 28. Vaca O.
Coaches
Marquez A.	Umana G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Altamirano S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, Alvarez W. ⚽, Nunez M. (A),
56', Sanchez E. 🟨,
74', 2 - 0, Nunez M. ⚽, Baldomar O. (A),
78', Terrazas A. ↓, Rojas S. ↑,
79', Arce Pari J. ↓, Medina K. ↑,
79', Nunez M. ↓, Pena S. ↑,
83', Rangel M. ↓, Segovia J. ↑,
85', Villalba D. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
85', Alvarez W. ↓, Pinto D. ↑,
89', Demiquel L. 🟨,
90', Azogue P. ↓, Pavia L. ↑,
90+4', Sanchez E. ↓, Amarilla A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional Potosí won 2.

In recent matches, Nacional Potosí has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aurora is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Nacional Potosí is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional Potosí won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:23. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Nacional Potosí won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Aurora	20	7	9	4	31:27	4	30
9	Nacional Potosi	20	8	3	9	30:28	2	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Potosí
Bolivian Division Profesional
17.05.26	Guabirá - Nacional Potosí	2:1 ✺
13.05.26	Bolívar - Nacional Potosí	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Always Ready - Nacional Potosí	3:1 ✺
25.04.26	Nacional Potosí - GVCD San José	1:1 ✺
22.04.26	Blooming - Nacional Potosí	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTLTL
- Club Aurora
Bolivian Division Profesional
01.06.26	Universitario de Vinto - Aurora	1:2 ✺
15.05.26	Real Tomayapo - Aurora	0:2 ✺
12.05.26	Aurora - Real Oruro	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Aurora - Guabirá	4:2 ✺
27.04.26	Aurora - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
27.09.25	Aurora - Nacional Potosí	1:2
16.05.25	Nacional Potosí - Aurora	3:1
17.12.24	Aurora - Nacional Potosí	1:1
14.09.24	Nacional Potosí - Aurora	1:3
13.03.24	Aurora - Nacional Potosí	4:1
03.03.24	Nacional Potosí - Aurora	1:0
22.07.23	Nacional Potosí - Aurora	0:0

Upcoming Matches