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Current Win Probability
Nacional Potosí 72%
Draw 15.5%
Real Oruro 12.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
77.3%
13.5%
9.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Potosí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacional Potosí's form might have worsened.
Real Oruro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Nacional Potosí - Real Oruro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Galindo P. (G) 34. Medina K. 5. Alvarez S. 33. Demiquel L. 28. Pena S. 22. Hoyos D. 18. Azogue P. (C) 16. Torrico A. 11. Tomianovic M. 19. Alvarez W. 99. Villalba D.
13. Pena I. (G) 33. Gatti F. 5. Corulo L. 22. Rivera E. 31. Balceras Cuellar R. J. 26. Tifner H. 6. Rivera A. 30. Ari Cruz J. 65. Bravo Adan A. F. (C) 50. Montenegro J. 9. Pinto D.
Substitutes
27. Abastoflor C. 3. Amarilla N. 1. Arauz E. (G) 15. Arce Pari J. 2. Avila R. 21. Baldomar O. 14. Juan Batista 25. Orellana J. 8. Pavia L. 7. Solis M. 9. Tobar T. 29. Weslen Junior
42. Ardaya R. 66. Aztete J. (G) 48. Berrios J. 18. Calle Y. 15. Castellon D. 55. Garcia S. 70. Gomez J. P. 10. Quinonez A. 77. Siles C. 37. Velez J.
Coaches
Gutierrez D.
Straccia M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Medina K. ⚽, Pena S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hoyos D. ↓, Baldomar O. ↑,
53', Montenegro J. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
53', Rivera A. ↓, Ardaya R. ↑,
53', Ari Cruz J. ↓, Velez J. ↑,
64', Bravo Adan A. F. ↓, Quinonez A. ↑,
64', Villalba D. ↓, Abastoflor C. ↑,
71', Tifner H. ↓, Calle Y. ↑,
74', Pena S. ↓, Solis M. ↑,
74', Baldomar O. ↓, Pavia L. ↑,
74', Alvarez W. ↓, Tobar T. ↑,
75', Rivera E. 🟨,
75', Pavia L. 🟨,
83', Balceras Cuellar R. J. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 0, Tobar T. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional Potosí won 2.
Nacional Potosí has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Real Oruro is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Real Oruro could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Nacional Potosí holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Nacional Potosí has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:9 (averaging 1.2:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nacional Potosí against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 3:7 goals (averaging 1:2.3 per game).