Match Info

Copa Pacena - Round 4

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte (Potosí)


	Real Potosí		Nacional Potosí

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.40	2.75
	2.23	3.20	2.70	Watch
	2.17	3.35	2.97
	2.4	3.55	2.7	Watch
	2.14	3.15	2.90
	2.23	3.52	2.98	Watch
	2.18	3.40	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.31)	3.37 ↓ (3.74)	2.84 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Potosí
41%

Draw
27%

Nacional Potosí
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

24.8%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

24.8%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Potosí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Nacional Potosí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Potosí than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (+3%)

Real Potosí - Nacional Potosí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez C. (G) 21. Fernandez W. 22. Supayabe F. 44. Severiche S. 4. Villegas K. 35. Vedia C. 18. Rivas J. 8. Cardenas I. 3. Anasgo G. 11. Gomez M. (C) 91. Plaza S.	1. Arauz E. (G) 34. Medina K. 5. Alvarez S. 25. Orellana J. 16. Torrico A. 10. Nunez M. 8. Pavia L. (C) 22. Hoyos D. 29. Weslen Junior 19. Alvarez W. 11. Tomianovic M.
Substitutes
23. Ali L. 30. Alipaz J. 19. Brito A. 12. Condori B. 17. Cuellar D. 90. Gimenez L. 41. Igor Soares 77. Rojas J. 25. Sandy D. (G) 31. Terrazas R. 6. Thomas J. 14. Velasquez E.	27. Abastoflor C. 3. Amarilla N. 15. Arce Pari J. 21. Baldomar O. 20. Cano E. 33. Demiquel L. 23. Galindo P. (G) 17. Garcia A. 14. Juan Batista 30. Martinez Y. 28. Pena S. 99. Villalba D.
Coaches
Umana G.	Villegas E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Torrico A. ⚽, Weslen Junior (A),
15', Alvarez S. 🟨,
26', Martinez C. 🟨,
27', Nunez M. (Penalty Awarded),
27', Pavia L. 🟨,
28', 🟨,
42', Plaza S. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', Pavia L. ↓, Baldomar O. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Rivas J. ⚽, Gomez M. (A),
66', Supayabe F. 🟨,
66', Weslen Junior 🟨,
70', Fernandez W. ↓, Cuellar D. ↑,
70', Gomez M. ↓, Condori B. ↑,
71', Cuellar D. 🟨,
74', Hoyos D. 🟨,
78', Rivas J. ↓, Ali L. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Ali L. ⚽,
88', Tomianovic M. ↓, Abastoflor C. ↑,
88', Alvarez W. ↓, Villalba D. ↑,
89', Cardenas I. 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+3', Villegas K. 🟨,
90+7', Rojas J. 🟨,
90+7', Anasgo G. 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 2, Weslen Junior (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Potosí won 2.

In recent outings, Real Potosí has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Nacional Potosí shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Nacional Potosí may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Real Potosí has recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:38 (averaging 1.3:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Real Potosí against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with 15:21 goals (averaging 1.5:2.1 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Potosí
Bolivian Division Profesional
15.09.26	Real Oruro - Real Potosí	0:2 ✺
11.09.26	Real Potosí - Oriente Petrolero	2:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
08.09.26	Aurora - Real Potosí	1:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
05.09.26	Guabirá - Real Potosí	1:1 ✺
26.08.26	Real Potosí - Real Tomayapo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLTL
- Nacional Potosí
Bolivian Division Profesional
16.09.26	Nacional Potosí - Always Ready	0:4 ✺
12.09.26	GVCD San José - Nacional Potosí	0:3 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
09.09.26	Real Oruro - Nacional Potosí	0:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
06.09.26	Nacional Potosí - Blooming	2:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
03.09.26	Nacional Potosí - Real Tomayapo	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
12.07.26	Real Potosí - Nacional Potosí	1:1
Bolivian Torneo Amistoso de Verano
08.02.26	Nacional Potosí - Real Potosí	0:1
01.02.26	Real Potosí - Nacional Potosí	1:0
Bolivian Division Profesional
26.09.21	Nacional Potosí - Real Potosí	4:2
02.05.21	Real Potosí - Nacional Potosí	1:2
29.12.20	Real Potosí - Nacional Potosí	2:3
15.03.20	Nacional Potosí - Real Potosí	4:0

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