Match Info

Paulista A4 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday


	Nacional SP		São Caetano

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.9	2.7
	2.53	3.02	2.76	Watch
	2.48	2.9	2.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.5)	2.94 ↓ (3.3)	2.74 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional SP
36.3%

Draw
30.7%

São Caetano
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

27.7%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

27.7%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

São Caetano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional SP than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Nacional SP - São Caetano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, Gustavo Indio ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
65', 2 - 0, Gustavo Indio ⚽,
70', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nacional SP won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Including matches at home between the teams Nacional SP won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
22.03.25	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Nacional SP	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Nacional SP - VOCEM	0:3 ✺
12.03.25	Grêmio Osasco Audax - Nacional SP	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Nacional SP - Matonense	3:2 ✺
01.03.25	Joseense - Nacional SP	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLWWT
- AD São Caetano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
22.03.25	São Caetano - Inter de Bebedouro	2:2 ✺
16.03.25	Penapolense - São Caetano	1:1 ✺
12.03.25	São Caetano - Jabaquara	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Barretos - São Caetano	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	São Caetano - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
22.01.25	Nacional SP - São Caetano	1:2

Nacional SP - São Caetano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide