Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A4 - Round 14

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday


	Nacional SP		VOCEM

	1	X	2
	1.7	2.85	5.75
	1.75	2.9	5.4
	1.71	3.02	5.83	Watch
	1.7	3.69	4.74
	1.75	2.9	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.5)	3.07 ↓ (3.75)	5.42 ↓ (6.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional SP
53.2%

Draw
29.8%

VOCEM
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

24.3%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

23.3%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacional SP's form might have worsened.

VOCEM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional SP than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional SP, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VOCEM than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Nacional SP - VOCEM Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Da Ora ⚽,
45+2', 0 - 2, Gustavo ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 3, Ferreira Castro N. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).

Nacional SP is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Nacional SP is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches VOCEM is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

VOCEM could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nacional SP is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Nacional SP to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nacional SP won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
12.03.25	Grêmio Osasco Audax - Nacional SP	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Nacional SP - Matonense	3:2 ✺
01.03.25	Joseense - Nacional SP	2:2 ✺
26.02.25	Nacional SP - Paulista	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Nacional SP - Barretos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWTWT
- Vila Operária Clube Esporte Mariano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
11.03.25	Matonense - VOCEM	2:3 ✺
08.03.25	VOCEM - União Barbarense	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Taquaritinga - VOCEM	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	VOCEM - Colorado Caieiras	3:3 ✺
22.02.25	Inter de Bebedouro - VOCEM	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
11.02.24	VOCEM - Nacional SP	4:3

Nacional SP - VOCEM: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide