The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Penapolense 36.6%
Draw 33.9%
São Caetano 29.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.7%
29.3%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.1%
28.3%
29.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penapolense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
São Caetano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penapolense than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Penapolense - São Caetano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+6', 2 - 0, ⚽,
45+18', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
First leg.
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Penapolense is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
São Caetano is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Penapolense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Penapolense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
Last Results with these Odds
São Caetano - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 30.97%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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