Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A4 - Round 11

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday


	Joseense		Nacional SP

	1	X	2
	2.27	3.05	3.05
	2.21	2.92	3.21
	2.23	3.12	3.12	Watch
	2.23	3.33	3.12
	2.27	3.05	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.42)	3.09 ↑ (3.05)	3.11 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joseense
40.9%

Draw
29.6%

Nacional SP
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

29.7%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

31.5%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joseense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Nacional SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joseense than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional SP than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Joseense - Nacional SP Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
12', 1 - 0, Diogo ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, ⚽,
35', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Joseense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nacional SP is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Joseense have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Joseense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Joseense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
26.02.25	Matonense - Joseense	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Paulista - Joseense	1:0 ✺
18.02.25	Joseense - Jabaquara	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Colorado Caieiras - Joseense	0:0 ✺
12.02.25	União Barbarense - Joseense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWTT
- Nacional SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
26.02.25	Nacional SP - Paulista	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Nacional SP - Barretos	0:0 ✺
19.02.25	Penapolense - Nacional SP	0:3 ✺
15.02.25	Nacional SP - Jabaquara	1:0 ✺
12.02.25	Inter de Bebedouro - Nacional SP	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
17.02.24	Nacional SP - Joseense	1:0

Joseense - Nacional SP: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide