Match Info

Paulista A4 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday


	Nacional SP		Paulista

	1	X	2
	3	2.85	2.48	Watch
	3.01	2.82	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.79)	2.84 ↓ (2.9)	2.46 (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional SP
30.5%

Draw
32.3%

Paulista
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

31.1%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

31.1%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Paulista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional SP than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paulista than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Nacional SP - Paulista Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, ⚽,
68', 1 - 1, Christopher ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nacional SP won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Including matches at home between the teams Nacional SP won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
05.04.25	São Caetano - Nacional SP	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Nacional SP - São Caetano	3:0 ✺
22.03.25	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Nacional SP	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Nacional SP - VOCEM	0:3 ✺
12.03.25	Grêmio Osasco Audax - Nacional SP	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWTLW
- Paulista FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
05.04.25	Joseense - Paulista	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Paulista - Joseense	2:2 ✺
22.03.25	VOCEM - Paulista	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Paulista - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	0:0 ✺
12.03.25	Taquaritinga - Paulista	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
26.02.25	Nacional SP - Paulista	1:0

Nacional SP - Paulista: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide