Match Info

Date: 18 November 2020, Wednesday


	Nacional de Muriaé		Athletic Club

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3
	2.08	3.1	2.85
	2.05	3.2	3
	2.25	3.5	3.13
	2.17	3.42	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.13)	3.3 ↑ (3.21)	3 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional de Muriaé
42.3%

Draw
27.4%

Athletic Club
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

27.9%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

20.9%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional de Muriaé has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional de Muriaé than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional de Muriaé, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Athletic Club, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nacional de Muriaé - Athletic Club Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Nacional de Muriaé is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Athletic is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nacional de Muriaé could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nacional de Muriaé will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Nacional de Muriaé won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Nacional de Muriaé won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional de Muriaé
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro 2
14.11.20	Athletic Club - Nacional de Muriaé	3:2 ✺
11.11.20	Betim - Nacional de Muriaé	0:1 ✺
31.10.20	Nacional de Muriaé - Athletic Club	3:1 ✺
24.10.20	Guarani MG - Nacional de Muriaé	0:3 ✺
21.10.20	Nacional de Muriaé - Mamoré	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWWL
- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro 2
14.11.20	Athletic Club - Nacional de Muriaé	3:2 ✺
07.11.20	Athletic Club - Betim	2:2 ✺
31.10.20	Nacional de Muriaé - Athletic Club	3:1 ✺
24.10.20	Athletic Club - Democrata GV	3:1 ✺
21.10.20	Guarani MG - Athletic Club	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro 2
14.11.20	Athletic Club - Nacional de Muriaé	3:2
31.10.20	Nacional de Muriaé - Athletic Club	3:1

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