Match Info

IRAQ: Stars League - Round 15

Date: 20 January 2025, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Al Iraqiya Sports, Almanasa


	Naft Al-Basra		Zakho

	1	X	2
	4.2	2.8	1.9
	4.33	2.7	2
	4.51	2.67	1.98
	4.49	2.85	1.94	Watch
	4.66	2.86	1.87	Watch
	4.33	2.7	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.42 ↓ (6.35)	2.76 ↓ (3.58)	1.95 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naft Al-Basra
20.5%

Draw
32.9%

Zakho
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.3%

25.4%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2%

25.3%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naft Al-Basra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Naft Al-Basra's performance.

Zakho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zakho might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naft Al-Basra than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naft Al-Basra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zakho than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zakho could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Naft Al Basra - Zakho Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Zakho will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Gustavo Henrique ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
63', 1 - 1, Ouro-Agoro I. ⚽,
81', 1 - 2, Gustavo Henrique ⚽,
85', 2 - 2, Zeke Omwele A. ⚽,
90+9', 2 - 3, Attwan A. (Pen),
90+16', Jawad H. 🟥,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 4).

Naft Al-Basra is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Zakho is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Zakho is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Naft Al-Basra won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:3 (average 2.5:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Naft Al-Basra won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:3 (average 2.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naft Al-Basra
Iraqi Premier League
13.01.25	Al-Minaa - Naft Al-Basra	2:0 ✺
09.01.25	Naft Al-Basra - Newroz	2:0 ✺
02.01.25	Duhok - Naft Al-Basra	1:0 ✺
05.12.24	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Zawraa	0:0 ✺
01.12.24	Karbala - Naft Al-Basra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWLTL
- Zakho
Iraqi Premier League
15.01.25	Zakho - Al-Kahraba	0:1 ✺
09.01.25	Diyala - Zakho	1:4 ✺
03.01.25	Zakho - Al-Karkh	2:0 ✺
12.12.24	Al-Naft - Zakho	2:0 ✺
07.12.24	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Zakho	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
18.12.20	Naft Al-Basra - Zakho	1:0
31.10.14	Zakho - Naft Al-Basra	0:2
03.11.13	Naft Al-Basra - Zakho	4:0
10.05.13	Naft Al-Basra - Zakho	3:3

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