Match Info

Stars League - Round 31

Date: 27 April 2026, Monday


	Al-Naft		Zakho

	1	X	2
	3.15	2.82	2.25
	3.23	2.86	2.21
	3.37	2.77	2.3	Watch
	3.1	2.8	2.2
	3.29	3.09	2.21
	2.88	2.95	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.88)	2.88 ↓ (2.95)	2.25 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Naft
28.5%

Draw
31.4%

Zakho
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

30.4%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

30.6%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Naft has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Zakho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Naft than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zakho than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Al Naft - Zakho Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Moutari A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 1 - 1, Rostam A. ⚽,
65', Raed H. 🟥,
80', Kiki G. 🟥,
90+10', Khalaf A. 🟥,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Naft won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Zakho may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Zakho has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Al-Naft won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Naft won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Al Naft	8	4	3	1	9:5	4	15
12	Zakho	8	2	3	3	7:11	-4	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Naft
Iraqi Premier League
22.04.26	Al Mosul - Al-Naft	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Diyala - Al-Naft	1:0 ✺
14.04.26	Al-Naft - Arbil	0:2 ✺
09.04.26	Al-Naft - Al-Gharraf	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Naft	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLLWT
- Zakho
Iraqi Premier League
23.04.26	Zakho - Al-Kahraba	2:1 ✺
Gulf Club Champions League
19.04.26	Zakho - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:2 penalties ✺
Iraqi Premier League
12.04.26	Zakho - Al-Talaba	1:2 ✺
08.04.26	Zakho - Al-Zawraa	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Amanat Baghdad - Zakho	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
22.02.26	Zakho - Al-Naft	2:0
13.03.25	Zakho - Al-Naft	2:1
12.12.24	Al-Naft - Zakho	2:0
27.05.24	Zakho - Al-Naft	3:0
21.12.23	Al-Naft - Zakho	0:0
25.06.23	Al-Naft - Zakho	1:1

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