Match Info

Stars League - Round 28

Date: 13 April 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Iraqia Syriac


	Naft Maysan		Al Mosul

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.88	2.42
	3.14	2.54	2.43
	3.12	2.74	2.45	Watch
	2.88	2.7	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.17)	2.72 ↑ (2.7)	2.44 ↓ (2.46)

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naft Maysan
29.9%

Draw
33.1%

Al Mosul
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

33.9%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

34%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naft Maysan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Al Mosul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naft Maysan than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Mosul than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
36', 1 - 0, Gueye Dieme D. ⚽,
45+9', 1 - 1, Al Dali A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Stars League (Relegation) and 13).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Naft Maysan has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Naft Maysan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Al Mosul	9	2	2	5	9:15	-6	8
18	Naft Missan	8	1	4	3	6:11	-5	7

Last Results with these Odds

Naft Maysan - the odds 3.17 are the expected chance of winning is 28.88%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naft Maysan
Iraqi Premier League
09.04.26	Diyala - Naft Maysan	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Al-Minaa - Naft Maysan	0:1 ✺
31.03.26	Newroz - Naft Maysan	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Naft Maysan - Arbil	0:0 ✺
18.03.26	Al-Karkh - Naft Maysan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LWLTT
- Al Mosul SC
Iraqi Premier League
09.04.26	Arbil - Al Mosul	2:2 ✺
03.04.26	Al Mosul - Al-Karkh	1:2 ✺
30.03.26	Al Mosul - Al-Kahraba	2:1 ✺
26.03.26	Al-Karma - Al Mosul	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Al Mosul - Zakho	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
22.12.25	Al Mosul - Naft Maysan	1:1

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