Match Info

Stars League - Round 27

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Franso Hariri Stadium (Arbil)


	Arbil		Al Mosul

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.1	4.75
	1.72	3.3	4.82	Watch
	1.67	3	5
	1.74	3.16	4.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.67)	3.14 ↓ (3.37)	4.83 ↓ (5.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arbil
52.6%

Draw
28.7%

Al Mosul
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

27.1%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

26.8%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arbil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Al Mosul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbil than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Mosul than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Arbil - Al Mosul Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Arbil will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Al Mosul will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Temirov S. ⚽, Barco C. (A),
28', 2 - 0, Temirov S. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
68', 2 - 1, Raheem A. ⚽,
74', 2 - 2, Ngah C. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 and 14).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, Arbil is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arbil won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Erbil	8	5	2	1	12:3	9	17
14	Al Mosul	9	2	2	5	9:15	-6	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arbil
Iraqi Premier League
05.04.26	Al-Gharraf - Arbil	0:0 ✺
31.03.26	Arbil - Al-Zawraa	1:1 ✺
27.03.26	Naft Maysan - Arbil	0:0 ✺
23.03.26	Arbil - Diyala	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Duhok - Arbil	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTTWW
- Al Mosul SC
Iraqi Premier League
03.04.26	Al Mosul - Al-Karkh	1:2 ✺
30.03.26	Al Mosul - Al-Kahraba	2:1 ✺
26.03.26	Al-Karma - Al Mosul	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Al Mosul - Zakho	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Najaf - Al Mosul	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
08.01.26	Al Mosul - Arbil	0:2

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