Match Info
Stars League - Round 10Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday ๐ Finished Where to Watch on TV: | Country | Kick-Off | TV Channels |
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 Iraq | 19:45 | Almanasa |
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Arbil |
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Al Mosul |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.52 |
3.6 |
5.3 |
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1.49 |
3.8 |
5.61 |
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1.52 |
3.86 |
5.7 |
 Watch |
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1.47 |
3.75 |
5.55 |
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1.48 |
3.72 |
6.1 |
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1.55 |
3.75 |
5.4 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.88) |
3.75 ↑
(3.2) |
5.61 ↑
(3.7) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Arbil
59.9% | Draw
24.1% | Al Mosul
16.1% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Arbil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arbil's performance.Al Mosul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al Mosul might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbil than the current prediction. (-10.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arbil that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Mosul than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Mosul could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Arbil - Al Mosul Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Miullen (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', 0 - 1, Osama Nabih Y. ⚽, Luqman G. (A),
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 5th and 17th).Arbil has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).Al Mosul is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).Al Mosul could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match. In this matchup, Arbil is considered the favorite to take the win.In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Arbil has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:2 (averaging 2:1 goals per game).Specifically in home fixtures for Arbil against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Erbil | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
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| 14 | Al Mosul | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Arbil - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 47.72%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
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