Match Info

2. SNL - Round 23

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Športni park Lendava (Lendava)


	Nafta		Jadran Dekani

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.15	7.1	Watch
	1.45	3.93	5.84
	1.38	4.63	7.6	Watch
	1.4	3.8	6.5
	1.44	4.27	7.11
	1.39	4.19	6.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.38)	4.16 ↓ (4.38)	6.79 ↓ (6.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nafta
64.7%

Draw
21.9%

Jadran Dekani
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

20.8%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

20.3%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nafta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Jadran Dekani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nafta than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jadran Dekani than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Nafta - Jadran Dekani Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, (Own goal),
50', 2 - 0, Marosa A. ⚽,
60', 3 - 0, Zorica J. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Prva liga and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nafta won 3.

Nafta is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Jadran Dekani's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jadran Dekani may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nafta is the obvious favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Nafta won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 33:6. (average 2.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Nafta won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:1. (average 4:0.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Jadran Dekani	9	3	3	3	6:6	0	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Nafta 1903
Slovenian 2 SNL
04.04.26	Jesenice - Nafta	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Nafta - Krško	4:1 ✺
21.03.26	Gorica - Nafta	1:1 ✺
16.03.26	Nafta - Dravinja	2:1 ✺
Slovenian Cup
12.03.26	NK Bravo - Nafta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWTWL
- Jadran Dekani
Slovenian 2 SNL
03.04.26	Jadran Dekani - Bistrica	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Tabor Sežana - Jadran Dekani	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Ilirija Ljubljana - Jadran Dekani	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Jadran Dekani - Jesenice	3:0 ✺
08.03.26	Krško - Jadran Dekani	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
27.09.25	Jadran Dekani - Nafta	0:2
11.05.24	Jadran Dekani - Nafta	2:0
21.10.23	Nafta - Jadran Dekani	1:0
04.05.23	Jadran Dekani - Nafta	1:3
22.10.22	Nafta - Jadran Dekani	1:1
20.05.22	Nafta - Jadran Dekani	6:0
07.11.21	Jadran Dekani - Nafta	1:1

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