Match Info

Date: 17 July 2022, Sunday


	Naftan		Lokomotiv Gomel

	1	X	2
	1.51	4	5
	1.57	4.14	5.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.54)	4.07 ↓ (4.08)	5.08 ↑ (5.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naftan
59.5%

Draw
22.5%

Lokomotiv Gomel
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

22.4%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

22.9%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naftan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for Lokomotiv Gomel have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naftan than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Gomel than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Vysshaya Liga and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Naftan won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Naftan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Naftan is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Naftan won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Naftan won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naftan Novopolotsk
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
09.07.22	Slonim - Naftan	0:2 ✺
02.07.22	Naftan - Volna Pinsk	0:1
Belarusian Cup
23.06.22	Naftan - Minsk	0:1 ✺
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
11.06.22	Molodechno - Naftan	3:5 ✺
04.06.22	Naftan - Ostrovets	3:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLWW
- Lokomotiv Gomel
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
10.07.22	Lokomotiv Gomel - Lida	2:1 ✺
03.07.22	Shakhtar Pietrykaw - Lokomotiv Gomel	3:0
Belarusian Cup
22.06.22	Lokomotiv Gomel - Dinamo Brest	0:1 ✺
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
12.06.22	Lokomotiv Gomel - Baranovichi	5:0 ✺
22.05.22	Slonim - Lokomotiv Gomel	0:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
29.08.21	Naftan - Lokomotiv Gomel	2:1
12.06.21	Lokomotiv Gomel - Naftan	1:1
05.09.20	Naftan - Lokomotiv Gomel	1:5
02.05.20	Lokomotiv Gomel - Naftan	3:3
22.06.19	Lokomotiv Gomel - Naftan	2:1
20.10.18	Naftan - Lokomotiv Gomel	1:1
23.06.18	Lokomotiv Gomel - Naftan	0:2

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