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Current Win Probability
Naftan 18.7%
Draw 24.8%
Minsk 56.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
13.2%
25.4%
61.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.2%
22.1%
53.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naftan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Naftan's performance.
Minsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naftan than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minsk than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Naftan - Minsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Sadovskiy D. (G) 97. Chernyavskiy V. 8. Stefanishin A. 69. Khadzhiev R. 24. Seleznev I. 50. Mafwenta G. 6. Adamovich K. 42. Galimzyanov T. 10. Savitskiy A. 11. Pranovich I. (C) 30. Aymanov M.
30. Gutor A. (C) 79. Sviridenko I. 88. Jarjue Kabia A. 3. Sokol A. 33. Malitskiy K. 13. Aleksievich I. 29. Dubinets I. 66. Campo F. 80. Ksenofontov A. 9. Dieye M. 10. Zherdev G.
Substitutes
14. Chmut I. 13. Kharitonovich A. (G) 21. Kirkitski K. 17. Krolik V. 5. Lebedev A. 20. Leshchenok E. 25. Matvey S. 94. Voskoboynikov A. 9. Yakovlev V.
6. Abena F. 16. Gerashchenko M. (G) 7. Gomis H. 19. Kuchinskiy K. 32. Malyutin V. 8. Migdalenok A. 37. Sukharenko M. (G) 23. Turich A. 15. Yatskevich V. 17. Zubovich E.
Coaches
Khrapkovski A.
Chelyadinsky A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Dieye M. ⚽, Zherdev G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Galimzyanov T. ↓, Yakovlev V. ↑,
48', Zherdev G. 🟨,
52', Dubinets I. 🟨,
56', Jarjue Kabia A. 🟨,
60', Campo F. ↓, Yatskevich V. ↑,
60', Zherdev G. ↓, Migdalenok A. ↑,
62', Mafwenta G. ↓, Krolik V. ↑,
63', Chernyavskiy V. 🟨,
67', Malitskiy K. ↓, Kuchinskiy K. ↑,
67', Dieye M. ↓, Zubovich E. ↑,
69', Pranovich I. (Penalty Awarded),
75', Ksenofontov A. ↓, Abena F. ↑,
80', Savitskiy A. ↓, Voskoboynikov A. ↑,
80', 0 - 2, Zubovich E. ⚽, Jarjue Kabia A. (A),
90+1', 0 - 3, Zubovich E. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Naftan won 1.
Recent form of Naftan has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Minsk has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Naftan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Minsk has had a series of away games.
In this match, Minsk is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Naftan won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 14:32. (average 0.7:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Naftan won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 3:14. (average 0.3:1.6).
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Sadovskiy D. (G) 
Stefanishin A. 
Mafwenta G. 
Aymanov M. 
Jarjue Kabia A. 
Campo F. 
Dieye M. 
Abena F. 
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