Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 18

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Borisov Arena (Barysaw)

Referee: Lashuk A. (Blr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Belarus 5


	BATE Borisov		Molodechno

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.1	5.5
	1.49	4.85	5.4
	1.44	4	5.5
	1.5	4.45	6.2	Watch
	1.39	4.74	8.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.4)	4.43 ↓ (4.7)	6.14 ↓ (8.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BATE Borisov
63.9%

Draw
21%

Molodechno
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

20.3%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

19%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BATE Borisov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Molodechno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BATE Borisov than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molodechno than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

BATE Borisov - Molodechno Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. BATE (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1, 1st Half - Molodechno (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2 - Molodechno (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - BATE (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. BATE (votes: 2 - 50%). Molodechno (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Sokol D. (G) 66. Ageev A. 6. Moussakhanian H. 25. Neskoromnyi N. 33. Sotnikov V. (C) 24. Rusenchik V. 7. Svirepa A. 10. Rusakov E. 14. Telesh M. 77. Kargbo I. 22. Yatskevich V.	1. Tretyak D. (G) 27. Usenya S. (C) 6. Belashevich V. 14. Koval I. 2. Kutkovich G. 25. Lysenko N. 4. Shelest N. 37. Davyskiba R. 29. Samotoy M. 77. Djukic A. 20. Sagitov A.
Substitutes
8. Apanasevich K. 29. Charles Y. 45. Grivenev E. 80. Mirskiy N. 18. Nikonorov N. 15. Pashevich P. 27. Piletskiy R. 47. Sakhonchik A. 35. Skopets A. (G) 68. Zhulpa D.	91. Assumu J. 10. Butko A. 43. Diva O. 55. Imeryakov E. 12. Okhremchuk P. (G) 23. Radzhabov A. 19. Tychko M. 3. Udodov I. 11. Vlasov A. 17. Yushkevich A.
Coaches
Kontsevoy A.	Batyuto P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Neskoromnyi N. ⚽, Ageev A. (A),
36', Koval I. 🟨,
41', Lysenko N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lysenko N. ↓, Imeryakov E. ↑,
46', Kutkovich G. ↓, Assumu J. ↑,
46', Shelest N. ↓, Vlasov A. ↑,
57', Kargbo I. ↓, Charles Y. ↑,
57', Yatskevich V. ↓, Apanasevich K. ↑,
59', Sagitov A. ↓, Butko A. ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Charles Y. ⚽, Apanasevich K. (A),
70', Rusakov E. ↓, Grivenev E. ↑,
71', Svirepa A. ↓, Sakhonchik A. ↑,
75', Djukic A. ↓, Radzhabov A. ↑,
80', Neskoromnyi N. ↓, Piletskiy R. ↑,
83', Ageev A. 🟨,
89', 2 - 1, Assumu J. ⚽,
89', Davyskiba R. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga).

BATE has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Molodechno has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

BATE may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, BATE is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, BATE won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BATE Borisov
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
09.08.25	Isloch Minsk - BATE Borisov	2:0 ✺
01.08.25	BATE Borisov - Vitebsk	1:5 ✺
Belarusian Cup
25.07.25	Naftan - BATE Borisov	3:4 ET ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
05.07.25	BATE Borisov - Minsk	0:2 ✺
29.06.25	Naftan - BATE Borisov	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLT
- FC Molodechno
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
08.08.25	Molodechno - Slavia Mozyr	0:2 ✺
Belarusian Cup
27.07.25	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Molodechno	1:0 ✺
14.07.25	Belshina - Molodechno	0:3 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
04.07.25	Torpedo-BelAZ - Molodechno	4:1 ✺
27.06.25	Molodechno - Smorgon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
05.04.25	Molodechno - BATE Borisov	0:1

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