Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 8

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Atlant Stadium (Novopolotsk)


	Naftan		Slavia Mozyr

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.5	1.72
	4.8	3.35	1.68
	4.33	3.1	1.8
	4.43	3.35	1.84
	4.22	3.33	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↑ (4.32)	3.33 ↑ (3.3)	1.76 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naftan
21%

Draw
27.4%

Slavia Mozyr
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

28.4%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

27.6%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naftan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Slavia Mozyr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naftan than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slavia Mozyr than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Naftan - Slavia Mozyr Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Kharitonovich A. (C) 3. Kostomarov N. 5. Lebedev A. 42. Jonathan J. 97. Chernyavskiy V. 6. Adamovich K. 7. Gadzhiev S. 39. Fedorenko D. 9. Yakovlev V. 20. Zaynivov A. 11. Pranovich I.	1. Veretynskiy K. (G) 27. Chikida P. (C) 2. Ageev A. 18. Melnikov N. 22. Lukashov A. 49. Dzhigero A. 30. Likhtin V. 21. Shevchenko E. 11. Antilevskiy A. 44. Lutsevich T. 31. Solovey A.
Substitutes
21. Gurbanov M. 8. Latykhov D. 25. Matvey S. 71. Naumovich A. (G) 22. Pritsker M. 24. Seleznev I. 70. Thioune S. 16. Titov A. (G)	8. Kukharchik I. 3. Ngatchou R. 5. Sachkovskiy M. 23. Shelikov D. (G) 15. Vashkevich D. 7. Zherdev G.
Coaches
Gerashchenko V.	Bionchik I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Gadzhiev S. ↓, Latykhov D. ↑,
64', Yakovlev V. 🟨,
66', Jonathan J. 🟨,
69', Chernyavskiy V. 🟨,
70', Chikida P. ↓, Sachkovskiy M. ↑,
70', Ageev A. ↓, Ngatchou R. ↑,
72', Pranovich I. ↓, Gurbanov M. ↑,
76', Lutsevich T. ↓, Vashkevich D. ↑,
76', Dzhigero A. ↓, Kukharchik I. ↑,
80', 0 - 1, Kukharchik I. ⚽,
84', Latykhov D. ↓, Matvey S. ↑,
85', Adamovich K. ↓, Seleznev I. ↑,
90+4', Solovey A. ↓, Zherdev G. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Naftan won 0.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Naftan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Slavia Mozyr is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Naftan won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 13:23. (average 0.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Naftan won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.5:1).

Outrights of Belarusian Vysshaya Liga for now

Slavia Mozyr: 0.33%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Slavia Mozyr	22	6	7	9	23:26	-3	25
16	Naftan	23	3	5	15	20:54	-34	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naftan Novopolotsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
10.05.26	Naftan - BATE Borisov	0:0 ✺
01.05.26	Minsk - Naftan	4:2 ✺
25.04.26	Naftan - Vitebsk	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Neman Grodno - Naftan	3:1 ✺
10.04.26	Naftan - Gomel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLTLL
- Slavia Mozyr
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
09.05.26	Slavia Mozyr - Minsk	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Vitebsk - Slavia Mozyr	0:0 ✺
Belarusian Cup
29.04.26	BATE Borisov - Slavia Mozyr	2:0 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
24.04.26	Slavia Mozyr - Neman Grodno	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Gomel - Slavia Mozyr	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
01.11.25	Slavia Mozyr - Naftan	2:0
15.06.25	Naftan - Slavia Mozyr	0:1
08.11.24	Slavia Mozyr - Naftan	1:0
22.06.24	Naftan - Slavia Mozyr	0:1
28.10.23	Naftan - Slavia Mozyr	2:2
02.06.23	Slavia Mozyr - Naftan	1:0
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
13.10.18	Slavia Mozyr - Naftan	4:0

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