The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
BATE Borisov 37.5%
Draw 29.5%
Slavia Mozyr 33%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
32.3%
26.7%
41%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.7%
25.4%
43.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
BATE Borisov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in BATE Borisov's performance.
Slavia Mozyr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Slavia Mozyr might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for BATE Borisov than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with BATE Borisov that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slavia Mozyr than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Slavia Mozyr could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
BATE Borisov - Slavia Mozyr Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Skopets A. (G) 88. Dubovskiy P. 6. Moussakhanian H. 28. Mikhnyuk I. 23. Bochko N. 52. Kress E. 7. Angban V. 25. Neskoromnyi N. 17. Kovalev Y. (C) 37. Puerto E. 26. Varaksa V.
16. Abramovich E. (G) 88. Yashin D. 18. Melnikov N. 4. Rashchenya I. 3. Ngatchou R. 49. Dzhigero A. (C) 6. Kuznetsov Y. 21. Shevchenko E. 11. Antilevskiy A. 44. Lutsevich T. 17. Chernook K.
Substitutes
30. Gagloev T. 13. Khramtsevich Y. 18. Kolosovskiy P. 10. Rusakov E. 47. Sakhonchik A. 5. Sakuta M. 16. Sokol D. (G) 21. Titov M. 42. Zhurin A.
9. Batyshchev O. 27. Chikida P. 19. Derzhinskiy A. 14. Fedorenko D. 23. Ignatiev V. (G) 30. Likhtin V. 7. Romanov N. 2. Shemruk A. 20. Verenich I. 13. Zelimov N.
Coaches
Rogozhkin V.
Bionchik I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
19', Rashchenya I. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Kress E. ⚽, Puerto E. (A),
36', 2 - 0, Varaksa V. ⚽, Kovalev Y. (A),
42', Yashin D. ↓, Chikida P. ↑,
42', Ngatchou R. ↓, Fedorenko D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 2 - 1, Fedorenko D. ⚽,
51', Fedorenko D. 🟨,
70', Lutsevich T. ↓, Romanov N. ↑,
70', Shevchenko E. ↓, Derzhinskiy A. ↑,
83', Kovalev Y. ↓, Khramtsevich Y. ↑,
87', Kuznetsov Y. 🟨,
90+2', Dzhigero A. ↓, Likhtin V. ↑,
90+4', Likhtin V. 🟨,
90+4', Puerto E. ↓, Rusakov E. ↑,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 14th in the Vysshaya Liga (Relegation) and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, BATE won 2.
BATE is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Slavia Mozyr has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Slavia Mozyr could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, BATE has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, BATE has recorded 12 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 36:15 (averaging 1.8:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for BATE against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 19:3 goals (averaging 2.1:0.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Slavia Mozyr
26
8
7
11
33:35
-2
31
14
BATE
26
4
9
13
19:33
-14
21
Last Results with these Odds
Slavia Mozyr - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.96%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
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Skopets A. (G) 
Moussakhanian H. 
Bochko N. 
Angban V. 
Puerto E. 
Ngatchou R. 
Batyshchev O. 
Zelimov N. 
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