Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	BATE Borisov		Slavia Mozyr

	1	X	2
	2.80	3.38	2.40
	2.85	3.45	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (2.85)	3.42 ↓ (3.45)	2.33 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BATE Borisov
32.9%

Draw
27.2%

Slavia Mozyr
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

26.7%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

25.4%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BATE Borisov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Slavia Mozyr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BATE Borisov than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slavia Mozyr than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

BATE Borisov - Slavia Mozyr Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 14th in the Vysshaya Liga (Relegation) and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, BATE won 2.

BATE is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Slavia Mozyr has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

BATE may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, BATE has faced a series of away games on the road.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, BATE has recorded 12 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 36:15 (averaging 1.8:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for BATE against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 19:3 goals (averaging 2.1:0.3 per game).

Outrights of Belarusian Vysshaya Liga for now

Slavia Mozyr: 0.33%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Slavia Mozyr	22	6	7	9	23:26	-3	25
14	BATE	22	3	9	10	16:27	-11	18

Last Results with these Odds

Slavia Mozyr - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.96%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BATE Borisov
Club Friendly
04.10.26	Zenit - BATE Borisov	1:0 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
19.09.26	Dinamo Minsk - BATE Borisov	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	BATE Borisov - Naftan	2:2 ✺
07.09.26	Dinamo Brest - BATE Borisov	1:0 ✺
03.09.26	Isloch Minsk - BATE Borisov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- Slavia Mozyr
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
19.09.26	Slavia Mozyr - Naftan	0:1 ✺
11.09.26	Minsk - Slavia Mozyr	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Slavia Mozyr - Vitebsk	3:0 ✺
29.08.26	Neman Grodno - Slavia Mozyr	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Slavia Mozyr - Gomel	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
24.05.26	Slavia Mozyr - BATE Borisov	1:1
Belarusian Cup
29.04.26	BATE Borisov - Slavia Mozyr	2:0
15.04.26	Slavia Mozyr - BATE Borisov	0:1
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
09.11.25	BATE Borisov - Slavia Mozyr	1:1
20.06.25	Slavia Mozyr - BATE Borisov	1:1
05.10.24	Slavia Mozyr - BATE Borisov	2:3
17.05.24	BATE Borisov - Slavia Mozyr	1:0

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