The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Naftan 28.7%
Draw 29.3%
BATE Borisov 41.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.9%
33.2%
40.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.9%
32%
39.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naftan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
BATE Borisov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naftan than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for BATE Borisov than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Naftan - BATE Borisov Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. BATE will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Kharitonovich A. (C) 3. Kostomarov N. 5. Lebedev A. 42. Jonathan J. 97. Chernyavskiy V. 6. Adamovich K. 39. Fedorenko D. 9. Yakovlev V. 20. Zaynivov A. 8. Latykhov D. 11. Pranovich I.
32. Chernik S. (G) 33. Rakhmanov A. (C) 88. Dubovskiy P. 5. Sakuta M. 17. Kovalev A. 14. Telesh M. 52. Kress E. 7. Angban V. 25. Neskoromnyi N. 44. Mardas M. 29. Charles Y.
Substitutes
17. Aleksandrovich A. 7. Gadzhiev S. 21. Gurbanov M. 25. Matvey S. 71. Naumovich A. (G) 22. Pritsker M. 24. Seleznev I. 70. Thioune S. 16. Titov A. (G)
8. Apanasevich K. 19. Chernykh I. 11. Grivenev E. 3. Intsoen C. 28. Mikhnyuk I. 6. Moussakhanian H. 15. Protasenya G. 23. Rashchenya I. 16. Sokol D. (G) 30. Yarmolich A.
Coaches
Gerashchenko V.
Kontsevoy A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Kovalev A. 🟨,
24', Lebedev A. 🟨,
28', Chernyavskiy V. 🟨,
40', Mardas M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Angban V. ↓, Mikhnyuk I. ↑,
56', Latykhov D. ↓, Gadzhiev S. ↑,
58', Dubovskiy P. 🟨,
72', Yakovlev V. ↓, Thioune S. ↑,
75', Kress E. ↓, Grivenev E. ↑,
75', Mardas M. ↓, Apanasevich K. ↑,
75', Charles Y. ↓, Yarmolich A. ↑,
80', Gadzhiev S. 🟨,
80', Telesh M. ↓, Protasenya G. ↑,
83', Pranovich I. ↓, Seleznev I. ↑,
86', Thioune S. 🟨,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga and 14 in the zone Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Naftan won 0.
Naftan is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
BATE's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
BATE may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
BATE will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Naftan won 2 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:51. (average 1.1:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Naftan won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:30. (average 1.4:2.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
14
BATE
22
3
9
10
16:27
-11
18
16
Naftan
23
3
5
15
20:54
-34
14
Last Results with these Odds
BATE Borisov - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.9%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.