Match Info

J3 League - Round 7

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Nagano U Stadium (Nagano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Nagano Parceiro		Gifu

	1	X	2
	4.20	3.40	1.70
	4.1	3.35	1.72	Watch
	4.62	3.65	1.74
	4.39	3.7	1.75	Watch
	4.45	3.55	1.7
	4.41	3.68	1.75	Watch
	4.2	3.5	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↑ (3.85)	3.55 ↑ (3.3)	1.73 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nagano Parceiro
21.1%

Draw
25.8%

Gifu
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

27.2%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

24.9%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nagano Parceiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Gifu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gifu than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gifu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nagano Parceiro - Gifu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Nakano K. (G) 26. Nakata S. 7. Ono Y. 13. Tsukegi Y. 4. Gyotoku E. 10. Yamanaka R. 77. Morita D. 40. Hasegawa Y. 8. Kondo T. 18. Yoshizawa S. 28. Fujikawa K.	77. Haruna R. (G) 23. Toyama R. 34. Yumine K. 27. Haneda K. 22. Mun In-Ju 7. Hakozaki T. 9. Nakamura S. 50. Yashiki Y. 26. Ogushi S. 39. Izumisawa J. 19. Kanda H.
Substitutes
16. Ishii K. 14. Kutsuna K. 30. Nojima K. 51. Shimizu S. 19. Shoji H. 1. Tajiri K. (G) 25. Tanaka K. 3. Tomita K. 22. Yoshida K.	3. Hagino K. 20. Kanamoto S. 90. Kim Yu-Geon 66. Kitajima F. 47. Matsui T. 55. Sato S. (G) 14. Suzuki H. 95. Take H. 98. Yakabi K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Hasegawa Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ogushi S. ↓, Matsui T. ↑,
46', Yashiki Y. ↓, Kim Yu-Geon ↑,
56', Matsui T. 🟨,
67', Gyotoku E. ↓, Tomita K. ↑,
67', Yoshizawa S. ↓, Shimizu S. ↑,
75', Izumisawa J. ↓, Suzuki H. ↑,
78', Mun In-Ju 🟨,
79', Kondo T. ↓, Kutsuna K. ↑,
79', Yamanaka R. ↓, Nojima K. ↑,
81', Kanda H. ↓, Take H. ↑,
89', Fujikawa K. ↓, Shoji H. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 0, Kutsuna K. ⚽, Shoji H. (A),

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 13th and 6th in the Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Playoffs).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagano won 0.

Recent results have been tough for Nagano (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Gifu has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Nagano may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Gifu for this game.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Nagano has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:28 (averaging 1.4:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Nagano against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 10:14 goals (averaging 1.4:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Gifu	9	4	1	4	19:10	9	13
12	Nagano	9	3	2	4	11:13	-2	11

Last Results with these Odds

Nagano Parceiro - the odds 3.85 are the expected chance of winning is 23.29%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Nagano Parceiro
Japan J3 League
13.09.26	Nagano Parceiro - Tochigi	1:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
09.09.26	Nagano Parceiro - Mito HollyHock	0:1 penalties ✺
Japan J3 League
05.09.26	Sagamihara - Nagano Parceiro	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Nagano Parceiro - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Tokyo - Nagano Parceiro	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLTLL
- FC Gifu
Japan J3 League
12.09.26	Nara Club - Gifu	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Gifu - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
02.09.26	Gifu - Tokushima Vortis	1:0 penalties ✺
Japan J3 League
29.08.26	Gifu - Tochigi	4:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Cerezo Osaka - Gifu	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
09.05.26	Nagano Parceiro - Gifu	2:3
28.03.26	Gifu - Nagano Parceiro	5:1
Japan J3 League
20.09.25	Gifu - Nagano Parceiro	2:1
14.06.25	Nagano Parceiro - Gifu	1:2
11.10.24	Gifu - Nagano Parceiro	2:1
03.05.24	Nagano Parceiro - Gifu	2:1
19.08.23	Nagano Parceiro - Gifu	1:5

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