Match Info

J3 League - Round 6

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Nagano U Stadium (Nagano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Nagano Parceiro		Tochigi

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.10	2.05
	3.35	3	2.02
	3.74	3.25	2.07
	3.61	3.21	2.08	Watch
	3.55	3.2	2
	3.37	3.32	2.13	Watch
	3.5	3.05	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (2.95)	3.16 ↑ (2.88)	2.06 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nagano Parceiro
26.4%

Draw
29%

Tochigi
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

31%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

31.2%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nagano Parceiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Tochigi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tochigi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tochigi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Nagano Parceiro - Tochigi Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tochigi will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Nakano K. (G) 24. Watanabe Z. 7. Ono Y. 13. Tsukegi Y. 4. Gyotoku E. 30. Nojima K. 77. Morita D. 6. Hasegawa H. 8. Kondo T. 18. Yoshizawa S. 28. Fujikawa K.	41. Tashiro R. (G) 88. Uchida K. 5. Yanagi Y. 14. Suzuki S. 6. Abe K. 18. Matsushita Y. 27. Nagai T. 13. Osone K. 81. Nakano K. 17. Sugimori K. 9. Kondo Y.
Substitutes
40. Hasegawa Y. 14. Kutsuna K. 31. Makino K. (G) 26. Nakata S. 51. Shimizu S. 11. Shin K. 3. Tomita K. 10. Yamanaka R. 22. Yoshida K.	10. Igarashi T. 1. Kawata S. (G) 37. Kimura Y. 77. Nakamura J. 7. Osako R. 2. Sakurai R. 20. Suzuki W. I. 39. Yagi K. 25. Yamaguchi T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Nojima K. ⚽, Fujikawa K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Nakano K. ↓, Igarashi T. ↑,
57', Osone K. ↓, Yagi K. ↑,
60', Nojima K. ↓, Yamanaka R. ↑,
66', Sugimori K. ↓, Nakamura J. ↑,
66', Matsushita Y. ↓, Osako R. ↑,
67', Hasegawa H. ↓, Nakata S. ↑,
67', Gyotoku E. ↓, Hasegawa Y. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Kondo Y. ⚽,
75', Kondo Y. ↓, Suzuki W. I. ↑,
79', Kondo T. ↓, Kutsuna K. ↑,
79', Watanabe Z. ↓, Tomita K. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 9).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Tochigi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tochigi might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nagano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Nagano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Nagano	9	3	2	4	11:13	-2	11
14	Tochigi SC	9	2	4	3	11:14	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Nagano Parceiro
Japan J League Cup
09.09.26	Nagano Parceiro - Mito HollyHock	0:1 penalties ✺
Japan J3 League
05.09.26	Sagamihara - Nagano Parceiro	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Nagano Parceiro - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Tokyo - Nagano Parceiro	6:0 ✺
Japan J3 League
22.08.26	Roasso Kumamoto - Nagano Parceiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTLLW
- Tochigi SC
Japan J League Cup
09.09.26	Tochigi - Montedio Yamagata	0:1 ✺
Japan J3 League
05.09.26	Tochigi - Kochi United	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Gifu - Tochigi	4:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Tochigi	3:1 ✺
Japan J3 League
22.08.26	Tochigi - Giravanz Kitakyushu	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
31.05.26	Tochigi - Nagano Parceiro	0:1 penalties
Japan J3 League
29.11.25	Nagano Parceiro - Tochigi	0:4
06.05.25	Tochigi - Nagano Parceiro	1:0

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