Match Info

J.League Cup - First stage - 1/64-finals

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Nagano U Stadium (Nagano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Nagano Parceiro		Mito HollyHock

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.1	1.36
	6.50	4.33	1.37
	7.6	4.3	1.37	Watch
	8.13	4.52	1.41
	7.15	4.28	1.44
	7.55	4.4	1.39
	7.96	4.35	1.4	Watch
	7.2	4.2	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.45 ↑ (6.9)	4.31 ↓ (4.65)	1.39 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nagano Parceiro
12.3%

Draw
21.3%

Mito HollyHock
66.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

13.1%

19.4%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.7%

18.8%

69.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nagano Parceiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Mito HollyHock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Nagano Parceiro - Mito HollyHock Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Nagano will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Makino K. (G) 16. Ishii K. 26. Nakata S. 3. Tomita K. 25. Tanaka K. 10. Yamanaka R. 22. Yoshida K. 40. Hasegawa Y. 14. Kutsuna K. 19. Ito K. 51. Shimizu S.	27. Slowik J. (G) 16. Tamura Y. 50. Ieizumi R. 2. Fofana M. 70. Matheus Leiria 20. Funabashi Y. 48. Yamashita Y. 39. Yamamoto H. 38. Hugo Leonardo 8. Kato C. 33. Patryck
Substitutes
39. Ando K. 28. Fujikawa K. 4. Gyotoku E. 6. Hasegawa H. 77. Morita D. 30. Nojima K. 9. Osaki S. 1. Tajiri K. (G) 24. Watanabe Z.	14. Arai M. 82. Kawakami K. 21. Matsubara S. (G) 9. Nemoto R. 41. Shimatani K. 29. Tada K. 53. Yamashita S. 24. Yamazaki K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Kato C. 🟨,
34', Patryck 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Patryck ↓, Nemoto R. ↑,
59', Fofana M. ↓, Shimatani K. ↑,
63', Tanaka K. ↓, Watanabe Z. ↑,
65', Yamanaka R. 🟨,
71', Hasegawa Y. 🟨,
71', Matheus Leiria ↓, Arai M. ↑,
71', Kato C. ↓, Tada K. ↑,
74', Yamanaka R. ↓, Morita D. ↑,
74', Shoji H. ↓, Fujikawa K. ↑,
81', Kutsuna K. ↓, Ando K. ↑,
82', Yamamoto H. ↓, Yamashita S. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Hugo Leonardo ↓, Yamazaki K. ↑,
91', Ishii K. ↓, Gyotoku E. ↑,
91', Shimizu S. ↓, Osaki S. ↑,
119', Tamura Y. 🟨,
Penalties (1 - 4)
1, Nemoto R. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Fujikawa K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Tada K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Watanabe Z. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Shimatani K. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Morita D. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Ieizumi R. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Nagano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mito HollyHock is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mito HollyHock may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mito HollyHock is the clear favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Outrights of Japan J League Cup for now

Mito: 0.5%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Nagano Parceiro
Japan J3 League
05.09.26	Sagamihara - Nagano Parceiro	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Nagano Parceiro - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Tokyo - Nagano Parceiro	6:0 ✺
Japan J3 League
22.08.26	Roasso Kumamoto - Nagano Parceiro	0:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
19.08.26	Nagano Parceiro - Fukui United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TLLWW
- Mito HollyHock
Japan J1 League
05.09.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Mito HollyHock	1:1 ✺
02.09.26	Mito HollyHock - Kashima Antlers	4:2 ✺
29.08.26	Mito HollyHock - Machida Zelvia	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Kyoto Sanga - Mito HollyHock	1:3 ✺
15.08.26	Mito HollyHock - Gamba Osaka	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 TWTWT

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