The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nagano Parceiro 24.2%
Draw 27.8%
Kagoshima United 47.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.2%
28.8%
41%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.8%
27.5%
43%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagano Parceiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nagano Parceiro's form might have worsened.
Kagoshima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kagoshima United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Nagano Parceiro - Kagoshima United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Matsubara S. (G) 4. Gyotoku E. 3. Tomita K. 24. Sunamori K. 25. Tanaka K. 10. Yamanaka R. 9. Fujimori R. 13. Konishi H. 14. Sanda N. 18. Ukita K. 15. Higuchi K.
1. Fujishima E. (G) 44. Aoki Y. 29. Okazaki M. 7. Chibu K. 3. Sugii H. 14. Yoshio K. 27. Yamaguchi T. 6. Watanabe E. 11. Fukuda M. 18. Kawamura K. 9. Rodrigo Angelotti
Substitutes
33. Ando K. 5. Hasegawa Y. 19. Ito K. 20. Kano H. 46. Koga S. 35. Lee S. 23. Lim Ji-hoon 1. Tajiri K. (G) 22. Yoshida K.
8. Fujimura K. 19. Inaba S. 26. Kawashima K. 13. Kondo Y. 92. Nduka C. 10. Take S. 73. Tanaka T. 16. Yamauchi K. (G) 36. Yonezawa R.
Coaches
Fujimoto C.
Soma N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Sanda N. 🟨,
19', Watanabe E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
52', 0 - 1, Yoshio K. ⚽,
54', 0 - 2, Fukuda M. ⚽,
55', Higuchi K. ↓, Ito K. ↑,
55', Sanda N. ↓, Ando K. ↑,
58', 0 - 3, Fukuda M. ⚽,
60', Konishi H. ↓, Koga S. ↑,
64', Yoshio K. ↓, Tanaka T. ↑,
64', Watanabe E. ↓, Inaba S. ↑,
70', 1 - 3, Ukita K. ⚽,
72', Kawamura K. ↓, Yonezawa R. ↑,
72', Rodrigo Angelotti ↓, Nduka C. ↑,
85', Yamanaka R. ↓, Yoshida K. ↑,
86', Fukuda M. ↓, Take S. ↑,
Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Nagano won 3.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Kagoshima United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Nagano have a series of home games.
In this match Kagoshima United is a favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Nagano won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.5:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Nagano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1:1.5).
China
Japan
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Matsubara S. (G) 
Rodrigo Angelotti 
Lee S. 
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