The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nagano Parceiro 32.6%
Draw 27%
Fukushima United 40.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.5%
26.4%
32.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.1%
25.5%
33.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagano Parceiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nagano Parceiro's form might have worsened.
Fukushima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fukushima United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nagano Parceiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fukushima United than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fukushima United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Nagano Parceiro - Fukushima United Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Nagano will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Fukushima United will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Makino K. (G) 26. Nakata S. 7. Ono Y. 4. Gyotoku E. 16. Ishii K. 15. Higuchi K. 10. Yamanaka R. 5. Hasegawa Y. 17. Kutsuna K. 28. Fujikawa K. 51. Shimizu S.
1. Ueda T. (G) 19. Fujita J. 5. Toma H. 29. Tsuchiya K. 23. Anzai T. 96. Yoshida J. 20. Izumi S. 6. Uehata U. 32. Einaga T. 9. Shimizu K. 8. Okada Y.
Substitutes
19. Ito K. 20. Kano H. 21. Nakano K. (G) 30. Nojima K. 9. Osaki S. 2. Sakai S. 13. Tsukegi Y. 24. Watanabe Z. 22. Yoshida K.
7. Ashibe K. 77. Chiba T. 17. Fujitani T. 10. Harigaya T. 40. Higuchi H. 78. Jung Sung-Ryong (G) 30. Kano K. 11. Miura K. 14. Nakamura T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Toma H. ⚽, Einaga T. (A),
21', 0 - 2, Izumi S. ⚽, Anzai T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Shimizu S. ↓, Osaki S. ↑,
46', Kutsuna K. ↓, Yoshida K. ↑,
55', 1 - 2, Yoshida K. ⚽, Nakata S. (A),
64', 1 - 3, Uehata U. ⚽,
67', Einaga T. ↓, Ashibe K. ↑,
67', Fujita J. ↓, Fujitani T. ↑,
67', Shimizu K. ↓, Higuchi H. ↑,
70', Fujikawa K. ↓, Kano H. ↑,
76', Yoshida J. ↓, Harigaya T. ↑,
84', Higuchi K. ↓, Ito K. ↑,
88', Nakata S. ↓, Sakai S. ↑,
90', Uehata U. ↓, Kano K. ↑,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagano won 3.
In recent matches, Nagano has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Fukushima United has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Fukushima United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Nagano has had a series of away games.
Recently, Fukushima United has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Nagano won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Nagano won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Fukushima United - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.11%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.
China
Japan
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Makino K. (G) 
Jung Sung-Ryong (G) 
