The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nagano Parceiro 24.4%
Draw 27%
Zweigen Kanazawa 48.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.4%
28.2%
39.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.7%
28.5%
39%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagano Parceiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nagano Parceiro's form might have worsened.
Zweigen Kanazawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zweigen Kanazawa's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nagano Parceiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zweigen Kanazawa than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zweigen Kanazawa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
21. Matsubara S. (G) 16. Ishii K. 7. Ono Y. 3. Tomita K. 25. Tanaka K. 46. Koga S. 23. Lim Ji-hoon 17. Kutsuna K. 77. Thales 28. Fujikawa K. 11. Shin K.
21. Yamanoi T. (G) 4. Matsumoto D. 3. Hatao H. 55. Taira T. 30. Otani H. 15. Nishiya Y. 16. Mori S. 24. Nishiya K. 41. Shimada S. 49. Osawa T. 9. Toshida Y.
Substitutes
33. Ando K. 5. Hasegawa Y. 20. Kano H. 35. Lee S. 31. Makino K. (G) 87. Murakami Y. 2. Sakai S. 18. Ukita K. 10. Yamanaka R.
14. Ishihara T. 17. Kato T. 25. Kojima M. 26. Murata J. 20. Nagakura H. 10. Patric 1. Shirai Y. (G) 11. Sugiura K. 7. Tsukamoto D.
Coaches
Fujimoto C.
Tsujita M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Tomita K. ⚽, Koga S. (A),
33', Mori S. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Otani H. ⚽, Shimada S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', Shimada S. ↓, Kato T. ↑,
66', Lim Ji-hoon ↓, Hasegawa Y. ↑,
66', Tanaka K. ↓, Ando K. ↑,
68', Otani H. ↓, Kojima M. ↑,
68', Osawa T. ↓, Tsukamoto D. ↑,
72', Thales ↓, Yamanaka R. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Toshida Y. ⚽,
76', 1 - 3, Toshida Y. ⚽,
82', Shin K. ↓, Murakami Y. ↑,
82', Fujikawa K. ↓, Ukita K. ↑,
90', Nishiya K. ↓, Ishihara T. ↑,
90', Toshida Y. ↓, Sugiura K. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 9).
Nagano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Kanazawa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Nagano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Kanazawa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nagano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.7:2.7).
Including home match between the teams, Nagano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Last Results with these Odds
Zweigen Kanazawa - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.36%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
China
Japan
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Matsubara S. (G) 
Lim Ji-hoon 
Thales 
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