The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nagano Parceiro 45.2%
Draw 28.2%
Gainare Tottori 26.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33%
30.8%
36.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.7%
30.2%
35.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagano Parceiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nagano Parceiro's performance.
Gainare Tottori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gainare Tottori might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nagano Parceiro that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gainare Tottori than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gainare Tottori could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
Nagano Parceiro - Gainare Tottori Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Nagano will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Gainare Tottori will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Matsubara S. (G) 5. Hasegawa Y. 33. Ando K. 2. Sakai S. 16. Ishii K. 23. Lim Ji-hoon 7. Ono Y. 9. Fujimori R. 11. Shin K. 28. Fujikawa K. 10. Yamanaka R.
31. Koma R. (G) 14. Fukoin M. 16. Maruyama S. 55. Oshima H. 8. Tanaka K. 11. Tojo A. 34. Soga D. 3. Nagano S. 10. Togashi Y. 19. Miki N. 21. Kawamura T.
Substitutes
15. Higuchi K. 46. Koga S. 13. Konishi H. 17. Kutsuna K. 87. Murakami Y. 24. Sunamori K. 1. Tajiri K. (G) 77. Thales 18. Ukita K.
18. Handa K. 32. Ikawa T. 42. Kaneura M. 17. Matsumoto T. 7. Ozawa H. 39. Sakuraba R. (G) 13. Shimizu Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Hasegawa Y. ⚽,
26', Fujimori R. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Togashi Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fujimori R. ↓, Kutsuna K. ↑,
47', Oshima H. 🟨,
66', Kawamura T. ↓, Ozawa H. ↑,
66', Lim Ji-hoon ↓, Koga S. ↑,
67', Tanaka K. ↓, Ikawa T. ↑,
67', Fujikawa K. ↓, Ukita K. ↑,
70', Togashi Y. ↓, Handa K. ↑,
70', Tojo A. ↓, Shimizu Y. ↑,
72', Shin K. ↓, Murakami Y. ↑,
81', Miki N. ↓, Kaneura M. ↑,
84', Yamanaka R. ↓, Konishi H. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone J3 League (Relegation) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagano won 1.
Nagano is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Gainare Tottori is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Nagano will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Nagano won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.7:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Nagano won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Nagano Parceiro - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.99%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
China
Japan
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Matsubara S. (G) 
Lim Ji-hoon 
Thales 
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