Match Info

Stars League - Round 13

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Najaf		Al-Gharraf

	1	X	2
	2.92	2.62	2.58
	3.05	2.61	2.62	Watch
	2.9	2.5	2.6
	2.85	2.67	2.58
	3	2.57	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.78)	2.59 ↓ (2.77)	2.59 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Najaf
30.6%

Draw
34.7%

Al-Gharraf
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

33%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

32%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Najaf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Al-Gharraf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Najaf than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Gharraf than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Najaf - Al Gharraf Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
66', 0 - 1, Kuku K. ⚽,
70', 0 - 2, Kuku K. ⚽,
90+2', 0 - 3, Hadhri A. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Najaf has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Al-Gharraf is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Al Gharraf	8	1	2	5	4:12	-8	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Najaf
Iraqi Premier League
14.01.26	Najaf - Naft Maysan	2:4 ✺
10.01.26	Al-Karkh - Najaf	2:0 ✺
05.01.26	Al-Karma - Najaf	2:0 ✺
01.01.26	Najaf - Al-Naft	0:0 ✺
23.12.25	Duhok - Najaf	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL
- Al-Gharraf SC
Iraqi Premier League
14.01.26	Al-Gharraf - Al-Naft	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Al-Gharraf - Newroz	0:1 ✺
05.01.26	Al-Zawraa - Al-Gharraf	0:0 ✺
31.12.25	Al-Gharraf - Al-Karma	0:1 ✺
22.12.25	Al-Karkh - Al-Gharraf	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLTLL

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