Match Info

Stars League - Round 12

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday


	Al-Gharraf		Al-Naft

	1	X	2
	3.15	2.68	2.4
	3.47	2.48	2.49	Watch
	3.2	2.45	2.45
	3.24	2.66	2.4	Watch
	3.66	2.33	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.78)	2.52 ↓ (2.78)	2.44 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Gharraf
27%

Draw
35.9%

Al-Naft
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

32.1%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Gharraf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Gharraf's form might have worsened.

Al-Naft has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharraf than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Gharraf, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Naft than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Al Gharraf - Al Naft Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Al-Naft will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 10).

Al-Gharraf has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Al-Naft's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Al Naft	8	4	3	1	9:5	4	15
19	Al Gharraf	8	1	2	5	4:12	-8	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Gharraf SC
Iraqi Premier League
10.01.26	Al-Gharraf - Newroz	0:1 ✺
05.01.26	Al-Zawraa - Al-Gharraf	0:0 ✺
31.12.25	Al-Gharraf - Al-Karma	0:1 ✺
22.12.25	Al-Karkh - Al-Gharraf	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Arbil - Al-Gharraf	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTLLL
- Al-Naft
Iraqi Premier League
09.01.26	Al-Naft - Diyala	2:1 ✺
05.01.26	Newroz - Al-Naft	2:0 ✺
01.01.26	Najaf - Al-Naft	0:0 ✺
23.12.25	Al-Naft - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	0:0 ✺
21.11.25	Al-Naft - Al Mosul	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLTTL

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