The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Gharraf 28.4%
Draw 32.2%
Al-Naft 39.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
19.7%
57.2%
23.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.6%
53.9%
24.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Gharraf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Gharraf's performance.
Al-Naft has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Naft's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Gharraf than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Gharraf that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Naft than the current prediction. (-14.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Naft, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al Gharraf - Al Naft Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 16th and 3rd).
Al-Gharraf is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Al-Naft shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Al-Gharraf may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Al-Gharraf has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:1 (averaging 1:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Al-Gharraf against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Al Naft
11
6
4
1
13:5
8
22
16
Al Gharraf
11
2
4
5
6:13
-7
10
Last Results with these Odds
Al-Naft - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 23.07%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Iraq
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